Tested on 3,959 NBA games
Understand every basketball game before the jump ball.
NBA, EuroLeague, Betclic ÉLITE and ten more competitions: the win probability of every game and its projected score, 24 h before tip-off.
The model’s favorite won 66.3% of 3,959 tested games. See the performance
The whole analysis in your pocket
On your phone or your computer, with nothing to install.
- Full analysis of every game: form, last results, team comparison
- Offense, defense and pace, rest and schedule, matchup
- Official injury report, shown for context
- Every player’s averages: points, rebounds, assists and minutes
- The game in brief: a summary written from the model’s numbers
- What changed between the 24 h, 6 h and 1 h updates
- Every game’s prediction history
Coming soon: the Pro offer opens shortly. Everything else on the site is free in the meantime.
Matchup analysis
Enter the two teams you want to analyze.
Every probability comes from a model tested on whole seasons.
Matchup to analyze
Washington Wizards
VS
Opponent (e.g. Knicks)
Analyse the matchup
Next games
- 01/01
17:00San Antonio SpursvsWashington Wizards - 01/01
19:30Orlando MagicvsDetroit Pistons - 01/01
19:30Los Angeles ClippersvsToronto Raptors - 01/01
20:00Philadelphia 76ersvsMilwaukee Bucks
Next games
The NBA is back on October 20: meanwhile, twelve competitions are already under way, from the EuroLeague to the Betclic ÉLITE. Tap a game to see its probability and analysis.
Basketball Champions League
Sabah Baku
32.7%
Trabzonspor
67.3%
Projected 81.6–87.2 · 24 h before tip-off
How it works
- 01
The model computes
Calibrated probabilities, learned from ten NBA seasons and tested on games it had never seen.
- 02
Updated before every game
24 h, 6 h and 1 h before tip-off: form, rest, schedule and matchup, as they stand at prediction time.
- 03
A clear summary, nothing invented
A short text written automatically from the model’s numbers only; every number is checked before publication.
Matchup analysis
Enter the two teams you want to analyze.
Next meetings, last meetings and the model’s probabilities.
Tonight’s headline game
SAS–WAS
San Antonio Spurs @ Washington Wizards ·
Probabilities appear 24 h before tip-off.
See the game analysisGames
Friday, January 1, 2027
SAS San Antonio Spurs
—
WAS Washington Wizards
—
Probabilities appear Thu, Dec 31, 5:00 PM ET, 24 h before tip-off.
ORL Orlando Magic
—
DET Detroit Pistons
—
Probabilities appear Thu, Dec 31, 7:30 PM ET, 24 h before tip-off.
LAC Los Angeles Clippers
—
TOR Toronto Raptors
—
Probabilities appear Thu, Dec 31, 7:30 PM ET, 24 h before tip-off.
PHI Philadelphia 76ers
—
MIL Milwaukee Bucks
—
Probabilities appear Thu, Dec 31, 8:00 PM ET, 24 h before tip-off.
DAL Dallas Mavericks
—
HOU Houston Rockets
—
Probabilities appear Thu, Dec 31, 8:30 PM ET, 24 h before tip-off.
BOS Boston Celtics
—
UTA Utah Jazz
—
Probabilities appear Thu, Dec 31, 9:30 PM ET, 24 h before tip-off.
Tip-off times are shown in your time zone.
All 30 NBA teams covered
Total transparency
Performance figures are computed automatically from graded predictions, good and bad. Nothing is edited by hand.
- of the model’s favorites won
- 66.3%
- of the model’s favorites won
- games tested out of sample
- 3,959
- games tested out of sample
- log loss against Elo (lower is better)
- −0.0059
- log loss against Elo (lower is better)
Frequently asked questions
1. Is DunkScope free?
Yes: win probabilities, projected scores and the model’s performance are free, with no account. A Pro offer with the full analysis of every game opens soon.
2. How do the analyses work?
A statistical model computes the probabilities from past games: form, offensive and defensive efficiency, pace, rest, travel. It uses no data from after the prediction time. A short summary is then written automatically, by an AI, from the model’s numbers only; it never sets a probability.
3. Can I bet with DunkScope?
No. DunkScope is not a betting site: no odds, no picks sold as sure things, no betting advice. Probabilities, never guarantees. Betting is for adults only; if you bet, set limits.
4. Are the predictions reliable?
They are probabilities: a team given 60% loses about 4 times in 10. The Performance page automatically publishes the model’s results on every graded game and compares them with an Elo baseline.
5. When are probabilities published?
Published 24 h before every tip-off, then updated 6 h and 1 h before. Times are shown in your time zone.
Ready for tonight?
Probabilities, not guarantees. A team given 60% loses about 4 times in 10 when the model is well calibrated. DunkScope explains model outputs and gives no betting advice; betting is for adults only (18+ or your local legal age).