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DunkScope

← All FIBA Europe Cup games

FIBA Europe Cup · Regular season · 2026-27

VEF Riga @ Neftchi IK

Baku Sports Palace

VEF Riga win probability

55.8%

Neftchi IK win probability

44.2%

Projected score

86.4–83.5

Projected spread

−2.9

model margin, not a betting line

Projected total

169.8

points

Model updated Tue, Oct 13, 1:02 PM ET · 24 h before tip-off

Probabilities, not guarantees. A team given 60% loses about 4 times in 10 when the model is well calibrated. DunkScope explains model outputs and gives no betting advice; betting is for adults only (18+ or your local legal age).

Analysis ready

The full analysis is part of Pro

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  • Each team’s Elo rating and its curve over the season
  • The head-to-head record between the two teams
  • Form in detail: home, away, current streak, points margins
  • How hard the coming schedule is
  • Top scorers: points and minutes per game

Coming soon: the Pro offer opens shortly. Everything else on the site is free in the meantime.

Season so far

results known before the game

VEF Riga1–0

  • vs Lok. PlovdivW 106–83

Neftchi IK1–2

  • at MykonosL 58–78
  • at ParnuL 61–73
  • vs ParnuW 80–67

Model: Elo, tuned on the competition’s past seasons. It only reads results (no rosters, no injuries): take it as a starting point, not a certainty.