2026-27 season

EuroLeague

The model’s win probability for every EuroLeague game, published 24 h before tip-off, then updated 6 h and 1 h before.

Model: Elo, tuned on the competition’s past seasons. It only reads results (no rosters, no injuries): take it as a starting point, not a certainty.

Upcoming

Friday, October 9, 2026

2:15 PM ETResult pending

Anadolu Efes

12.1%

Olympiacos

87.9%

Projected 76.7–89.5 · 1 h before tip-off

2:30 PM ETResult pending

Zalgiris Kaunas

37.1%

Barcelona

62.9%

Projected 79.1–82.6 · 1 h before tip-off

2:30 PM ETResult pending

Besiktas

33.8%

Baskonia

66.2%

Projected 85.2–89.6 · 1 h before tip-off

Tuesday, October 13, 2026

1:45 PM ET

Zalgiris Kaunas

—

Fenerbahce

—

Probabilities appear Mon, Oct 12, 1:45 PM ET, 24 h before tip-off.

2:00 PM ET

Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet

—

Lyon-Villeurbanne

—

Probabilities appear Mon, Oct 12, 2:00 PM ET, 24 h before tip-off.

2:30 PM ET

Maccabi Tel Aviv

—

Barcelona

—

Probabilities appear Mon, Oct 12, 2:30 PM ET, 24 h before tip-off.

2:30 PM ET

Dubai

—

Baskonia

—

Probabilities appear Mon, Oct 12, 2:30 PM ET, 24 h before tip-off.

2:30 PM ET

Real Madrid

—

Olimpia Milano

—

Probabilities appear Mon, Oct 12, 2:30 PM ET, 24 h before tip-off.

2:30 PM ET

Panathinaikos

—

Partizan Mozzart Bet

—

Probabilities appear Mon, Oct 12, 2:30 PM ET, 24 h before tip-off.

3:00 PM ET

Olympiacos

—

Valencia

—

Probabilities appear Mon, Oct 12, 3:00 PM ET, 24 h before tip-off.

Wednesday, October 14, 2026

12:00 PM ET

Besiktas

—

Hapoel Tel Aviv

—

Probabilities appear Tue, Oct 13, 12:00 PM ET, 24 h before tip-off.

1:30 PM ET

Bayern

—

Anadolu Efes

—

Probabilities appear Tue, Oct 13, 1:30 PM ET, 24 h before tip-off.

2:45 PM ET

Virtus Bologna

—

Paris

—

Probabilities appear Tue, Oct 13, 2:45 PM ET, 24 h before tip-off.

Thursday, October 15, 2026

1:45 PM ET

Partizan Mozzart Bet

—

Fenerbahce

—

Probabilities appear Wed, Oct 14, 1:45 PM ET, 24 h before tip-off.

2:30 PM ET

Dubai

—

Olimpia Milano

—

Probabilities appear Wed, Oct 14, 2:30 PM ET, 24 h before tip-off.

2:30 PM ET

Maccabi Tel Aviv

—

Valencia

—

Probabilities appear Wed, Oct 14, 2:30 PM ET, 24 h before tip-off.

3:00 PM ET

Lyon-Villeurbanne

—

Real Madrid

—

Probabilities appear Wed, Oct 14, 3:00 PM ET, 24 h before tip-off.

Friday, October 16, 2026

1:00 PM ET

Bayern

—

Besiktas

—

Probabilities appear Thu, Oct 15, 1:00 PM ET, 24 h before tip-off.

1:00 PM ET

Anadolu Efes

—

Zalgiris Kaunas

—

Probabilities appear Thu, Oct 15, 1:00 PM ET, 24 h before tip-off.

2:00 PM ET

Paris

—

Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet

—

Probabilities appear Thu, Oct 15, 2:00 PM ET, 24 h before tip-off.

2:15 PM ET

Hapoel Tel Aviv

—

Panathinaikos

—

Probabilities appear Thu, Oct 15, 2:15 PM ET, 24 h before tip-off.

2:30 PM ET

Baskonia

—

Virtus Bologna

—

Probabilities appear Thu, Oct 15, 2:30 PM ET, 24 h before tip-off.

2:30 PM ET

Olympiacos

—

Barcelona

—

Probabilities appear Thu, Oct 15, 2:30 PM ET, 24 h before tip-off.

Latest results

Thursday, October 8, 2026

2:45 PM ETFinal

Partizan Mozzart Bet

Real Madrid

Model gave REA 75.5% · Projected 82.3–89.6 · 24 h before tip-off

2:30 PM ETFinal

Hapoel Tel Aviv

Valencia

Model gave VAL 73.6% · Projected 86.4–93.1 · 24 h before tip-off

2:15 PM ETFinal

Fenerbahce

Panathinaikos

Model gave PAN 62.0% · Projected 76.5–79.8 · 24 h before tip-off

2:00 PM ETFinal

Virtus Bologna

Bayern

Model gave BAY 75.9% · Projected 81.2–88.7 · 24 h before tip-off

12:00 PM ETFinal

Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet

Dubai

Model gave DUB 66.1% · Projected 84.3–88.7 · 24 h before tip-off

12:00 PM ETFinal

Olimpia Milano

Maccabi Tel Aviv

Model gave MAC 60.0% · Projected 90.6–93.3 · 24 h before tip-off

Wednesday, October 7, 2026

2:45 PM ETFinal

Lyon-Villeurbanne

Paris

Model gave PAR 80.3% · Projected 82.1–91.2 · 6 h before tip-off

Model performance

Log loss, Brier: lower is better

This season, over 7 predicted games played

	Log loss	Brier	Favourite won
Elo model	0.815	0.299	57.1%

Validation on the 2023-24 – 2025-26 seasons: each season predicted by a model tuned on the earlier ones only.

	Log loss	Brier	Favourite won
Elo model	0.615	0.214	66.0%
Always the home team	0.657	0.232	63.4%

Probabilities, not guarantees. A team given 60% loses about 4 times in 10 when the model is well calibrated. DunkScope explains model outputs and gives no betting advice; betting is for adults only (18+ or your local legal age).