2026-27 season

Betclic ÉLITE

The model’s win probability for every Betclic ÉLITE game, published 24 h before tip-off, then updated 6 h and 1 h before.

Model: Elo, tuned on the competition’s past seasons. It only reads results (no rosters, no injuries): take it as a starting point, not a certainty.

Upcoming

Friday, October 9, 2026

2:00 PM ETResult pending

Limoges

31.7%

Dijon

68.3%

Projected 83.9–90.0 · 1 h before tip-off

Saturday, October 10, 2026

12:00 PM ET

Pau-Orthez

22.7%

Cholet

77.3%

Projected 71.5–81.4 · 24 h before tip-off

12:00 PM ET

Gravelines-Dunkerque

23.2%

Nanterre

76.8%

Projected 75.0–84.5 · 24 h before tip-off

12:30 PM ET

Nancy

32.2%

Chalon/Saone

67.8%

Projected 81.3–87.3 · 24 h before tip-off

2:30 PM ET

JL Bourg

50.2%

Boulazac

49.8%

Projected 87.2–87.1 · 24 h before tip-off

Sunday, October 11, 2026

10:00 AM ET

Le Mans

—

Saint Quentin

—

Probabilities appear Sat, Oct 10, 10:00 AM ET, 24 h before tip-off.

10:30 AM ET

Strasbourg

—

Paris

—

Probabilities appear Sat, Oct 10, 10:30 AM ET, 24 h before tip-off.

1:00 PM ET

Roanne

—

Lyon-Villeurbanne

—

Probabilities appear Sat, Oct 10, 1:00 PM ET, 24 h before tip-off.

Friday, October 16, 2026

2:00 PM ET

Roanne

—

Strasbourg

—

Probabilities appear Thu, Oct 15, 2:00 PM ET, 24 h before tip-off.

Model performance

Log loss, Brier: lower is better

No predicted game has finished this season yet: the record will show after the first games.

Validation on the 2023-24 – 2025-26 seasons: each season predicted by a model tuned on the earlier ones only.

	Log loss	Brier	Favourite won
Elo model	0.591	0.202	68.9%
Always the home team	0.676	0.242	59.3%

Probabilities, not guarantees. A team given 60% loses about 4 times in 10 when the model is well calibrated. DunkScope explains model outputs and gives no betting advice; betting is for adults only (18+ or your local legal age).