Tested on 3,959 NBA games
Understand every basketball game before the jump ball.
NBA, EuroLeague, Betclic ÉLITE and ten more competitions: the win probability of every game and its projected score, 24 h before tip-off.
The model’s favorite won 66.3% of 3,959 tested games. See the performance
The whole analysis in your pocket
On your phone or your computer, with nothing to install.
- Full analysis of every game: form, last results, team comparison
- Offense, defense and pace, rest and schedule, matchup
- Official injury report, shown for context
- Every player’s averages: points, rebounds, assists and minutes
- The game in brief: a summary written from the model’s numbers
- What changed between the 24 h, 6 h and 1 h updates
- Every game’s prediction history
Coming soon: the Pro offer opens shortly. Everything else on the site is free in the meantime.
Matchup analysis
Enter the two teams you want to analyze.
Every probability comes from a model tested on whole seasons.
Matchup to analyze
Dallas Mavericks
VS
Opponent (e.g. Knicks)
Analyse the matchup
Next games
- 01/17
17:00Utah JazzvsDallas Mavericks - 01/17
19:30Boston CelticsvsAtlanta Hawks - 01/17
19:30Indiana PacersvsDetroit Pistons - 01/17
19:30Phoenix SunsvsNew York Knicks
Next games
Tap a game to see its probability and analysis.
How it works
- 01
The model computes
Calibrated probabilities, learned from ten NBA seasons and tested on games it had never seen.
- 02
Updated before every game
24 h, 6 h and 1 h before tip-off: form, rest, schedule and matchup, as they stand at prediction time.
- 03
A clear summary, nothing invented
A short text written automatically from the model’s numbers only; every number is checked before publication.
Matchup analysis
Enter the two teams you want to analyze.
Next meetings, last meetings and the model’s probabilities.
Tonight’s headline game
UTA–DAL
Utah Jazz @ Dallas Mavericks ·
Probabilities appear 24 h before tip-off.
See the game analysisGames
Saturday, January 17, 2026
UTA Utah Jazz
120
DAL Dallas Mavericks
138
No prediction was published before tip-off.
BOS Boston Celtics
132
ATL Atlanta Hawks
106
No prediction was published before tip-off.
IND Indiana Pacers
78
DET Detroit Pistons
121
No prediction was published before tip-off.
PHX Phoenix Suns
106
NYK New York Knicks
99
No prediction was published before tip-off.
OKC Oklahoma City Thunder
120
MIA Miami Heat
122
No prediction was published before tip-off.
MIN Minnesota Timberwolves
123
SAS San Antonio Spurs
126
No prediction was published before tip-off.
CHA Charlotte Hornets
116
GSW Golden State Warriors
136
No prediction was published before tip-off.
WAS Washington Wizards
115
DEN Denver Nuggets
121
No prediction was published before tip-off.
LAL Los Angeles Lakers
116
POR Portland Trail Blazers
132
No prediction was published before tip-off.
Tip-off times are shown in your time zone.
All 30 NBA teams covered
Total transparency
Performance figures are computed automatically from graded predictions, good and bad. Nothing is edited by hand.
- of the model’s favorites won
- 66.3%
- of the model’s favorites won
- games tested out of sample
- 3,959
- games tested out of sample
- log loss against Elo (lower is better)
- −0.0059
- log loss against Elo (lower is better)
Frequently asked questions
1. Is DunkScope free?
Yes: win probabilities, projected scores and the model’s performance are free, with no account. A Pro offer with the full analysis of every game opens soon.
2. How do the analyses work?
A statistical model computes the probabilities from past games: form, offensive and defensive efficiency, pace, rest, travel. It uses no data from after the prediction time. A short summary is then written automatically, by an AI, from the model’s numbers only; it never sets a probability.
3. Can I bet with DunkScope?
No. DunkScope is not a betting site: no odds, no picks sold as sure things, no betting advice. Probabilities, never guarantees. Betting is for adults only; if you bet, set limits.
4. Are the predictions reliable?
They are probabilities: a team given 60% loses about 4 times in 10. The Performance page automatically publishes the model’s results on every graded game and compares them with an Elo baseline.
5. When are probabilities published?
Published 24 h before every tip-off, then updated 6 h and 1 h before. Times are shown in your time zone.
Ready for tonight?
Probabilities, not guarantees. A team given 60% loses about 4 times in 10 when the model is well calibrated. DunkScope explains model outputs and gives no betting advice; betting is for adults only (18+ or your local legal age).