Tested on 3,959 NBA games
Understand every basketball game before the jump ball.
NBA, EuroLeague, Betclic ÉLITE and ten more competitions: the win probability of every game and its projected score, 24 h before tip-off.
The model’s favorite won 66.3% of 3,959 tested games. See the performance
The whole analysis in your pocket
On your phone or your computer, with nothing to install.
- Full analysis of every game: form, last results, team comparison
- Offense, defense and pace, rest and schedule, matchup
- Official injury report, shown for context
- Every player’s averages: points, rebounds, assists and minutes
- The game in brief: a summary written from the model’s numbers
- What changed between the 24 h, 6 h and 1 h updates
- Every game’s prediction history
Coming soon: the Pro offer opens shortly. Everything else on the site is free in the meantime.
Matchup analysis
Enter the two teams you want to analyze.
Every probability comes from a model tested on whole seasons.
Matchup to analyze
Orlando Magic
VS
Opponent (e.g. Knicks)
Analyse the matchup
Next games
- 03/28
12:30New York KnicksvsOrlando Magic - 03/28
15:00Memphis GrizzliesvsBrooklyn Nets - 03/28
15:00Los Angeles LakersvsHouston Rockets - 03/28
18:00Utah JazzvsCharlotte Hornets
Next games
The NBA is back on October 20: meanwhile, twelve competitions are already under way, from the EuroLeague to the Betclic ÉLITE. Tap a game to see its probability and analysis.
How it works
- 01
The model computes
Calibrated probabilities, learned from ten NBA seasons and tested on games it had never seen.
- 02
Updated before every game
24 h, 6 h and 1 h before tip-off: form, rest, schedule and matchup, as they stand at prediction time.
- 03
A clear summary, nothing invented
A short text written automatically from the model’s numbers only; every number is checked before publication.
Matchup analysis
Enter the two teams you want to analyze.
Next meetings, last meetings and the model’s probabilities.
Tonight’s headline game
NYK–ORL
New York Knicks @ Orlando Magic ·
Probabilities appear 24 h before tip-off.
See the game analysisGames
Sunday, March 28, 2027
NYK New York Knicks
—
ORL Orlando Magic
—
Probabilities appear Sat, Mar 27, 2027, 12:30 PM ET, 24 h before tip-off.
MEM Memphis Grizzlies
—
BKN Brooklyn Nets
—
Probabilities appear Sat, Mar 27, 2027, 3:00 PM ET, 24 h before tip-off.
LAL Los Angeles Lakers
—
HOU Houston Rockets
—
Probabilities appear Sat, Mar 27, 2027, 3:00 PM ET, 24 h before tip-off.
UTA Utah Jazz
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CHA Charlotte Hornets
—
Probabilities appear Sat, Mar 27, 2027, 6:00 PM ET, 24 h before tip-off.
DAL Dallas Mavericks
—
WAS Washington Wizards
—
Probabilities appear Sat, Mar 27, 2027, 6:00 PM ET, 24 h before tip-off.
BOS Boston Celtics
—
NOP New Orleans Pelicans
—
Probabilities appear Sat, Mar 27, 2027, 7:00 PM ET, 24 h before tip-off.
OKC Oklahoma City Thunder
—
MIN Minnesota Timberwolves
—
Probabilities appear Sat, Mar 27, 2027, 7:30 PM ET, 24 h before tip-off.
TOR Toronto Raptors
—
PHX Phoenix Suns
—
Probabilities appear Sat, Mar 27, 2027, 9:00 PM ET, 24 h before tip-off.
PHI Philadelphia 76ers
—
DEN Denver Nuggets
—
Probabilities appear Sat, Mar 27, 2027, 10:00 PM ET, 24 h before tip-off.
Tip-off times are shown in your time zone.
All 30 NBA teams covered
Total transparency
Performance figures are computed automatically from graded predictions, good and bad. Nothing is edited by hand.
- of the model’s favorites won
- 66.3%
- of the model’s favorites won
- games tested out of sample
- 3,959
- games tested out of sample
- log loss against Elo (lower is better)
- −0.0059
- log loss against Elo (lower is better)
Frequently asked questions
1. Is DunkScope free?
Yes: win probabilities, projected scores and the model’s performance are free, with no account. A Pro offer with the full analysis of every game opens soon.
2. How do the analyses work?
A statistical model computes the probabilities from past games: form, offensive and defensive efficiency, pace, rest, travel. It uses no data from after the prediction time. A short summary is then written automatically, by an AI, from the model’s numbers only; it never sets a probability.
3. Can I bet with DunkScope?
No. DunkScope is not a betting site: no odds, no picks sold as sure things, no betting advice. Probabilities, never guarantees. Betting is for adults only; if you bet, set limits.
4. Are the predictions reliable?
They are probabilities: a team given 60% loses about 4 times in 10. The Performance page automatically publishes the model’s results on every graded game and compares them with an Elo baseline.
5. When are probabilities published?
Published 24 h before every tip-off, then updated 6 h and 1 h before. Times are shown in your time zone.
Ready for tonight?
Probabilities, not guarantees. A team given 60% loses about 4 times in 10 when the model is well calibrated. DunkScope explains model outputs and gives no betting advice; betting is for adults only (18+ or your local legal age).