Tested on 3,959 NBA games
Understand every basketball game before the jump ball.
NBA, EuroLeague, Betclic ÉLITE and ten more competitions: the win probability of every game and its projected score, 24 h before tip-off.
The model’s favorite won 66.3% of 3,959 tested games. See the performance
The whole analysis in your pocket
On your phone or your computer, with nothing to install.
- Full analysis of every game: form, last results, team comparison
- Offense, defense and pace, rest and schedule, matchup
- Official injury report, shown for context
- Every player’s averages: points, rebounds, assists and minutes
- The game in brief: a summary written from the model’s numbers
- What changed between the 24 h, 6 h and 1 h updates
- Every game’s prediction history
Coming soon: the Pro offer opens shortly. Everything else on the site is free in the meantime.
Matchup analysis
Enter the two teams you want to analyze.
Every probability comes from a model tested on whole seasons.
Matchup to analyze
Indiana Pacers
VS
Opponent (e.g. Knicks)
Analyse the matchup
Next games
- 01/28
19:00Los Angeles LakersvsIndiana Pacers - 01/28
19:00Atlanta HawksvsNew York Knicks - 01/28
19:00Chicago BullsvsOrlando Magic - 01/28
19:00Sacramento KingsvsWashington Wizards
Next games
The NBA is back on October 20: meanwhile, twelve competitions are already under way, from the EuroLeague to the Betclic ÉLITE. Tap a game to see its probability and analysis.
How it works
- 01
The model computes
Calibrated probabilities, learned from ten NBA seasons and tested on games it had never seen.
- 02
Updated before every game
24 h, 6 h and 1 h before tip-off: form, rest, schedule and matchup, as they stand at prediction time.
- 03
A clear summary, nothing invented
A short text written automatically from the model’s numbers only; every number is checked before publication.
Matchup analysis
Enter the two teams you want to analyze.
Next meetings, last meetings and the model’s probabilities.
Tonight’s headline game
LAL–IND
Los Angeles Lakers @ Indiana Pacers ·
Probabilities appear 24 h before tip-off.
See the game analysisGames
Thursday, January 28, 2027
LAL Los Angeles Lakers
—
IND Indiana Pacers
—
Probabilities appear Wed, Jan 27, 2027, 7:00 PM ET, 24 h before tip-off.
ATL Atlanta Hawks
—
NYK New York Knicks
—
Probabilities appear Wed, Jan 27, 2027, 7:00 PM ET, 24 h before tip-off.
CHI Chicago Bulls
—
ORL Orlando Magic
—
Probabilities appear Wed, Jan 27, 2027, 7:00 PM ET, 24 h before tip-off.
SAC Sacramento Kings
—
WAS Washington Wizards
—
Probabilities appear Wed, Jan 27, 2027, 7:00 PM ET, 24 h before tip-off.
PHI Philadelphia 76ers
—
NOP New Orleans Pelicans
—
Probabilities appear Wed, Jan 27, 2027, 8:00 PM ET, 24 h before tip-off.
MEM Memphis Grizzlies
—
OKC Oklahoma City Thunder
—
Probabilities appear Wed, Jan 27, 2027, 8:00 PM ET, 24 h before tip-off.
GSW Golden State Warriors
—
UTA Utah Jazz
—
Probabilities appear Wed, Jan 27, 2027, 9:00 PM ET, 24 h before tip-off.
MIA Miami Heat
—
MIL Milwaukee Bucks
—
Probabilities appear Wed, Jan 27, 2027, 9:30 PM ET, 24 h before tip-off.
Tip-off times are shown in your time zone.
All 30 NBA teams covered
Total transparency
Performance figures are computed automatically from graded predictions, good and bad. Nothing is edited by hand.
- of the model’s favorites won
- 66.3%
- of the model’s favorites won
- games tested out of sample
- 3,959
- games tested out of sample
- log loss against Elo (lower is better)
- −0.0059
- log loss against Elo (lower is better)
Frequently asked questions
1. Is DunkScope free?
Yes: win probabilities, projected scores and the model’s performance are free, with no account. A Pro offer with the full analysis of every game opens soon.
2. How do the analyses work?
A statistical model computes the probabilities from past games: form, offensive and defensive efficiency, pace, rest, travel. It uses no data from after the prediction time. A short summary is then written automatically, by an AI, from the model’s numbers only; it never sets a probability.
3. Can I bet with DunkScope?
No. DunkScope is not a betting site: no odds, no picks sold as sure things, no betting advice. Probabilities, never guarantees. Betting is for adults only; if you bet, set limits.
4. Are the predictions reliable?
They are probabilities: a team given 60% loses about 4 times in 10. The Performance page automatically publishes the model’s results on every graded game and compares them with an Elo baseline.
5. When are probabilities published?
Published 24 h before every tip-off, then updated 6 h and 1 h before. Times are shown in your time zone.
Ready for tonight?
Probabilities, not guarantees. A team given 60% loses about 4 times in 10 when the model is well calibrated. DunkScope explains model outputs and gives no betting advice; betting is for adults only (18+ or your local legal age).