EuroLeague · Regular season · 2026-27
Zalgiris Kaunas @ Barcelona
Palau Blaugrana
Zalgiris Kaunas win probability
37.1%
Barcelona win probability
62.9%
Projected score
79.1–82.6
Projected spread
+3.5
model margin, not a betting line
Projected total
161.8
points
Model updated Fri, Oct 9, 1:35 PM ET · 1 h before tip-off
Probabilities, not guarantees. A team given 60% loses about 4 times in 10 when the model is well calibrated. DunkScope explains model outputs and gives no betting advice; betting is for adults only (18+ or your local legal age).
Season so far
results known before the game
Zalgiris Kaunas1–2
- at ParisL 78–82
- vs OlympiacosL 91–93
- at Crvena Zvezda MeridianbetW 83–77
Barcelona2–1
- at BesiktasW 95–82
- at DubaiL 87–94
- vs Anadolu EfesW 89–82
How the prediction moved
every prediction is kept as made, never edited
- 24 h before tip-offBAR 62.9%
- 6 h before tip-offBAR 62.9%
- 1 h before tip-offBAR 62.9%
Model: Elo, tuned on the competition’s past seasons. It only reads results (no rosters, no injuries): take it as a starting point, not a certainty.