EuroLeague · Regular season · 2026-27
Virtus Bologna @ Bayern
BMW Park
Final VIR 94 – 87 BAY
Virtus Bologna win probability
24.1%
Bayern win probability
75.9%
Projected score
81.2–88.7
Projected spread
+7.5
model margin, not a betting line
Projected total
169.9
points
Model updated Wed, Oct 7, 4:35 PM ET · 24 h before tip-off
Probabilities, not guarantees. A team given 60% loses about 4 times in 10 when the model is well calibrated. DunkScope explains model outputs and gives no betting advice; betting is for adults only (18+ or your local legal age).
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- Each team’s Elo rating and its curve over the season
- The head-to-head record between the two teams
- Form in detail: home, away, current streak, points margins
- How hard the coming schedule is
- Top scorers: points and minutes per game
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Season so far
Virtus Bologna1–2
- vs OlympiacosW 96–94
- at Olimpia MilanoL 85–87
- at FenerbahceL 68–78
Bayern1–2
- vs Partizan Mozzart BetL 84–86
- at FenerbahceL 76–100
- at Hapoel Tel AvivW 86–84
Model: Elo, tuned on the competition’s past seasons. It only reads results (no rosters, no injuries): take it as a starting point, not a certainty.