EuroLeague · Regular season · 2026-27
Lyon-Villeurbanne @ Paris
Adidas Arena
Final LYO 98 – 96 PAR
Lyon-Villeurbanne win probability
19.7%
Paris win probability
80.3%
Projected score
82.1–91.2
Projected spread
+9.1
model margin, not a betting line
Projected total
173.3
points
Model updated Wed, Oct 7, 9:17 AM ET · 6 h before tip-off
Probabilities, not guarantees. A team given 60% loses about 4 times in 10 when the model is well calibrated. DunkScope explains model outputs and gives no betting advice; betting is for adults only (18+ or your local legal age).
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- Each team’s Elo rating and its curve over the season
- The head-to-head record between the two teams
- Form in detail: home, away, current streak, points margins
- How hard the coming schedule is
- Top scorers: points and minutes per game
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Season so far
Lyon-Villeurbanne1–2
- vs ValenciaL 92–105
- at PanathinaikosL 79–102
- vs Maccabi Tel AvivW 84–74
Paris1–2
- vs Zalgiris KaunasW 82–78
- vs Partizan Mozzart BetL 79–92
- at PanathinaikosL 72–91
How the prediction moved
- 24 h before tip-offPAR 80.3%
- 6 h before tip-offPAR 80.3%
Model: Elo, tuned on the competition’s past seasons. It only reads results (no rosters, no injuries): take it as a starting point, not a certainty.