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Süper Ligi · Regular season · 2026-27

Esenler Erokspor @ Trabzonspor

Hayri Gur Spor Salonu

Esenler Erokspor win probability

41.1%

Trabzonspor win probability

58.9%

Projected score

76.8–79.0

Projected spread

+2.1

model margin, not a betting line

Projected total

155.8

points

Model updated Sat, Oct 24, 12:05 AM ET · 6 h before tip-off

Probabilities, not guarantees. A team given 60% loses about 4 times in 10 when the model is well calibrated. DunkScope explains model outputs and gives no betting advice; betting is for adults only (18+ or your local legal age).

Pro analysis free today: the most open game of the day.

Elo rating

each team’s strength from its results; 1,500 is average

Esenler Erokspor

1611

Over the last 5 games: —

Season start: 1597

Trabzonspor

1593

Over the last 5 games: —

Season start: 1580

1500
Esenler EroksporTrabzonspor

Form in detail

this season, before the game

Esenler Erokspor

Current streak · 3 wins

At home2–0
Away1–1
Points scored
83.8 per game
Points allowed
81.0 per game
Average margin
+2.8
Margin home / away
+6.0 / −0.5

Trabzonspor

Current streak · 2 wins

At home2–0
Away1–1
Points scored
80.2 per game
Points allowed
79.0 per game
Average margin
+1.2
Margin home / away
+4.5 / −2.0

Head to head

latest meetings, all seasons
Esenler Erokspor · 02 · Trabzonspor
  • Jan 25, 2026Trabzonspor 90–73 Esenler Erokspor
  • Oct 4, 2025Esenler Erokspor 67–72 Trabzonspor

Coming schedule

the next 5 opponents and their Elo rating

Esenler Erokspor

  • Turk TelekomNov 1 · vs1652
  • GalatasarayNov 8 · at1570
  • Bahcesehir Kol.Nov 15 · vs1753
  • CayirovaNov 22 · at1476
  • KarsiyakaDec 5 · vs1488

Opponents’ average rating: 1588 (league average: 1,500) · a tougher schedule than average

Trabzonspor

  • Korfez BasketOct 31 · at1510
  • Petkim SporNov 7 · vs1469
  • TofasNov 14 · at1488
  • Anadolu EfesNov 22 · vs1746
  • FenerbahceDec 6 · at1796

Opponents’ average rating: 1602 (league average: 1,500) · a tougher schedule than average

Top scorers

Esenler Erokspor

from 3 of the season’s 4 games: those with a complete box score

  • M. Davis Jr20.7 points

    33.0 min · 3 games

  • McCollum Errick17.3 points

    23.5 min · 3 games

  • Yebo Kevin15.3 points

    29.0 min · 3 games

  • Arna Egehan8.3 points

    32.3 min · 3 games

  • Van Der Vuurst Keye6.3 points

    18.4 min · 3 games

Trabzonspor

from 2 of the season’s 4 games: those with a complete box score

  • Keene Marcus13.5 points

    26.8 min · 2 games

  • Manek Brady12.5 points

    26.6 min · 2 games

  • Arslan Yigit12.5 points

    27.6 min · 2 games

  • Canaan Isaiah9.5 points

    17.2 min · 2 games

  • Terry Emanuel9.0 points

    20.1 min · 2 games

Season so far

results known before the game

Esenler Erokspor3–1

  • vs Anadolu EfesW 73–70
  • at TofasW 87–79
  • vs Petkim SporW 96–87
  • at Korfez BasketL 79–88

Trabzonspor3–1

  • at Denizli BasketW 75–70
  • vs Bordo BandirmaW 83–80
  • at BesiktasL 81–90
  • vs BursasporW 82–76

How the prediction moved

every prediction is kept as made, never edited
  • 24 h before tip-offTRA 58.9%
  • 6 h before tip-offTRA 58.9%

Model: Elo, tuned on the competition’s past seasons. It only reads results (no rosters, no injuries): take it as a starting point, not a certainty.