2026-27 season
Süper Ligi
The model’s win probability for every Süper Ligi game, published 24 h before tip-off, then updated 6 h and 1 h before.
Model: Elo, tuned on the competition’s past seasons. It only reads results (no rosters, no injuries): take it as a starting point, not a certainty.
Upcoming
Friday, October 16, 2026
Saturday, October 17, 2026
Sunday, October 18, 2026
Latest results
Monday, October 12, 2026
Sunday, October 11, 2026
Saturday, October 10, 2026
Model performance
Log loss, Brier: lower is better
No predicted game has finished this season yet: the record will show after the first games.
Validation on the 2023-24 – 2025-26 seasons: each season predicted by a model tuned on the earlier ones only.
| Log loss | Brier | Favourite won | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo model | 0.573 | 0.195 | 69.0% |
| Always the home team | 0.679 | 0.243 | 58.7% |
Probabilities, not guarantees. A team given 60% loses about 4 times in 10 when the model is well calibrated. DunkScope explains model outputs and gives no betting advice; betting is for adults only (18+ or your local legal age).