Süper Ligi · Regular season · 2026-27
Fenerbahce @ Karsiyaka
Mustafa Kemal Ataturk Sport Hall
Fenerbahce win probability
78.8%
Karsiyaka win probability
21.2%
Projected score
88.8–78.3
Projected spread
−10.5
model margin, not a betting line
Projected total
167.1
points
Model updated Sun, Oct 25, 7:35 AM ET · 1 h before tip-off
Probabilities, not guarantees. A team given 60% loses about 4 times in 10 when the model is well calibrated. DunkScope explains model outputs and gives no betting advice; betting is for adults only (18+ or your local legal age).
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- Each team’s Elo rating and its curve over the season
- The head-to-head record between the two teams
- Form in detail: home, away, current streak, points margins
- How hard the coming schedule is
- Top scorers: points and minutes per game
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Season so far
Fenerbahce2–2
- vs Petkim SporL 77–82
- at CayirovaW 100–85
- vs Korfez BasketW 85–84
- at Bahcesehir Kol.L 83–98
Karsiyaka2–2
- vs CayirovaW 95–79
- at Bahcesehir Kol.L 82–92
- vs GalatasarayW 78–71
- at Turk TelekomL 72–73
How the prediction moved
- 24 h before tip-offKAR 21.2%
- 6 h before tip-offKAR 21.2%
- 1 h before tip-offKAR 21.2%
Model: Elo, tuned on the competition’s past seasons. It only reads results (no rosters, no injuries): take it as a starting point, not a certainty.