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Süper Ligi · Regular season · 2026-27

Fenerbahce @ Karsiyaka

Mustafa Kemal Ataturk Sport Hall

Fenerbahce win probability

78.8%

Karsiyaka win probability

21.2%

Projected score

88.8–78.3

Projected spread

−10.5

model margin, not a betting line

Projected total

167.1

points

Model updated Sun, Oct 25, 7:35 AM ET · 1 h before tip-off

Probabilities, not guarantees. A team given 60% loses about 4 times in 10 when the model is well calibrated. DunkScope explains model outputs and gives no betting advice; betting is for adults only (18+ or your local legal age).

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  • Each team’s Elo rating and its curve over the season
  • The head-to-head record between the two teams
  • Form in detail: home, away, current streak, points margins
  • How hard the coming schedule is
  • Top scorers: points and minutes per game

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Season so far

results known before the game

Fenerbahce2–2

  • vs Petkim SporL 77–82
  • at CayirovaW 100–85
  • vs Korfez BasketW 85–84
  • at Bahcesehir Kol.L 83–98

Karsiyaka2–2

  • vs CayirovaW 95–79
  • at Bahcesehir Kol.L 82–92
  • vs GalatasarayW 78–71
  • at Turk TelekomL 72–73

How the prediction moved

every prediction is kept as made, never edited
  • 24 h before tip-offKAR 21.2%
  • 6 h before tip-offKAR 21.2%
  • 1 h before tip-offKAR 21.2%

Model: Elo, tuned on the competition’s past seasons. It only reads results (no rosters, no injuries): take it as a starting point, not a certainty.