Lega A · Regular season · 2026-27
BC Roma @ Varese
Palasport Lino Oldrini
Final BCR 103 – 110 VAR
BC Roma win probability
40.4%
Varese win probability
59.6%
Projected score
91.8–94.6
Projected spread
+2.8
model margin, not a betting line
Projected total
186.5
points
Model updated Sat, Oct 24, 1:05 PM ET · 1 h before tip-off
Probabilities, not guarantees. A team given 60% loses about 4 times in 10 when the model is well calibrated. DunkScope explains model outputs and gives no betting advice; betting is for adults only (18+ or your local legal age).
Pro analysis free today: the most open game of the day.
Elo rating
BC Roma
1502
Over the last 5 games: —
Season start: 1500
Varese
1470
Over the last 5 games: —
Season start: 1470
Form in detail
BC Roma
Current streak · 2 losses
- Points scored
- 98.8 per game
- Points allowed
- 94.8 per game
- Average margin
- +4.0
- Margin home / away
- +16.0 / −8.0
Varese
Current streak · 1 loss
- Points scored
- 81.0 per game
- Points allowed
- 84.5 per game
- Average margin
- −3.5
- Margin home / away
- −10.0 / +3.0
Head to head
No previous meeting in the data.
Top scorers
BC Roma
from 4 of the season’s 4 games: those with a complete box score
No complete box score yet this season.
Varese
from 3 of the season’s 4 games: those with a complete box score
No complete box score yet this season.
Season so far
BC Roma1–3
- vs VeneziaL 98–104
- at Maxima RomaL 95–96
- vs TortonaW 108–70
- at TrevisoL 94–109
Varese2–2
- at TrentoL 85–87
- vs TriesteW 85–84
- at ScafatiW 85–77
- vs Virtus BolognaL 69–90
How the prediction moved
- 24 h before tip-offVAR 59.6%
- 6 h before tip-offVAR 59.6%
- 1 h before tip-offVAR 59.6%
Model: Elo, tuned on the competition’s past seasons. It only reads results (no rosters, no injuries): take it as a starting point, not a certainty.