2026-27 season
Lega A
The model’s win probability for every Lega A game, published 24 h before tip-off, then updated 6 h and 1 h before.
Model: Elo, tuned on the competition’s past seasons. It only reads results (no rosters, no injuries): take it as a starting point, not a certainty.
Upcoming
Saturday, October 17, 2026
Sunday, October 18, 2026
Olimpia Milano
—
Basket Napoli
—
Probabilities appear Sat, Oct 17, 6:00 AM ET, 24 h before tip-off.
Varese
—
Trento
—
Probabilities appear Sat, Oct 17, 10:00 AM ET, 24 h before tip-off.
Udine
—
Treviso
—
Probabilities appear Sat, Oct 17, 11:00 AM ET, 24 h before tip-off.
Reggiana
—
Verona
—
Probabilities appear Sat, Oct 17, 12:00 PM ET, 24 h before tip-off.
Cantu
—
Trieste
—
Probabilities appear Sat, Oct 17, 12:00 PM ET, 24 h before tip-off.
Scafati
—
Virtus Bologna
—
Probabilities appear Sat, Oct 17, 12:30 PM ET, 24 h before tip-off.
Maxima Roma
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Tortona
—
Probabilities appear Sat, Oct 17, 1:00 PM ET, 24 h before tip-off.
Latest results
Sunday, October 11, 2026
Virtus Bologna
93
Venezia
86
No prediction was published before tip-off.
BC Roma
95
Maxima Roma
96
No prediction was published before tip-off.
Verona
89
Scafati
82
No prediction was published before tip-off.
Tortona
86
Reggiana
93
No prediction was published before tip-off.
Basket Napoli
99
Cantu
80
No prediction was published before tip-off.
Treviso
77
Olimpia Milano
106
No prediction was published before tip-off.
Model performance
No predicted game has finished this season yet: the record will show after the first games.
Validation on the 2023-24 – 2025-26 seasons: each season predicted by a model tuned on the earlier ones only.
| Log loss | Brier | Favourite won | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo model | 0.605 | 0.208 | 68.1% |
| Always the home team | 0.668 | 0.238 | 61.3% |
Probabilities, not guarantees. A team given 60% loses about 4 times in 10 when the model is well calibrated. DunkScope explains model outputs and gives no betting advice; betting is for adults only (18+ or your local legal age).