Lega A · Regular season · 2026-27
Basket Napoli @ Tortona
Cittadella dello Sport
Basket Napoli win probability
33.5%
Tortona win probability
66.5%
Projected score
84.7–89.4
Projected spread
+4.8
model margin, not a betting line
Projected total
174.1
points
Model updated Sat, Oct 24, 7:05 AM ET · 24 h before tip-off
Probabilities, not guarantees. A team given 60% loses about 4 times in 10 when the model is well calibrated. DunkScope explains model outputs and gives no betting advice; betting is for adults only (18+ or your local legal age).
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- Each team’s Elo rating and its curve over the season
- The head-to-head record between the two teams
- Form in detail: home, away, current streak, points margins
- How hard the coming schedule is
- Top scorers: points and minutes per game
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Season so far
Basket Napoli3–1
- vs Olimpia MilanoL 82–98
- at CantuW 99–80
- vs ReggianaW 99–93
- at Maxima RomaW 94–75
Tortona1–3
- vs Maxima RomaL 75–89
- at ReggianaL 86–93
- at BC RomaL 70–108
- vs VeronaW 101–93
Model: Elo, tuned on the competition’s past seasons. It only reads results (no rosters, no injuries): take it as a starting point, not a certainty.