Lega A · Regular season · 2026-27
Trento @ Scafati
Pala Mangano
Final TRE 84 – 87 SCA
Trento win probability
69.3%
Scafati win probability
30.7%
Projected score
87.4–82.1
Projected spread
−5.3
model margin, not a betting line
Projected total
169.5
points
Model updated Sat, Oct 24, 1:35 PM ET · 1 h before tip-off
Probabilities, not guarantees. A team given 60% loses about 4 times in 10 when the model is well calibrated. DunkScope explains model outputs and gives no betting advice; betting is for adults only (18+ or your local legal age).
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- Each team’s Elo rating and its curve over the season
- The head-to-head record between the two teams
- Form in detail: home, away, current streak, points margins
- How hard the coming schedule is
- Top scorers: points and minutes per game
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Season so far
Trento3–1
- vs VareseW 87–85
- at UdineW 74–66
- vs TrevisoL 90–93
- at ReggianaW 83–78
Scafati0–4
- at Virtus BolognaL 83–108
- vs VeronaL 82–89
- vs VareseL 77–85
- at UdineL 63–87
How the prediction moved
- 24 h before tip-offSCA 30.7%
- 6 h before tip-offSCA 30.7%
- 1 h before tip-offSCA 30.7%
Model: Elo, tuned on the competition’s past seasons. It only reads results (no rosters, no injuries): take it as a starting point, not a certainty.