EuroLeague · Regular season · 2026-27
Real Madrid @ Baskonia
Fernando Buesa Arena
Real Madrid win probability
63.9%
Baskonia win probability
36.1%
Projected score
95.4–91.9
Projected spread
−3.5
model margin, not a betting line
Projected total
187.3
points
Model updated Mon, Oct 26, 4:05 PM ET · 24 h before tip-off
Probabilities, not guarantees. A team given 60% loses about 4 times in 10 when the model is well calibrated. DunkScope explains model outputs and gives no betting advice; betting is for adults only (18+ or your local legal age).
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- Each team’s Elo rating and its curve over the season
- The head-to-head record between the two teams
- Form in detail: home, away, current streak, points margins
- How hard the coming schedule is
- Top scorers: points and minutes per game
Season so far
results known before the game
Real Madrid1–3
- at Maccabi Tel AvivW 113–99
- at Hapoel Tel AvivL 98–102
- at Anadolu EfesL 84–94
- at DubaiL 77–78
Baskonia1–3
- at PanathinaikosL 79–85
- vs Olimpia MilanoW 86–76
- at ValenciaL 88–111
- vs OlympiacosL 89–106
Model: Elo, tuned on the competition’s past seasons. It only reads results (no rosters, no injuries): take it as a starting point, not a certainty.