EuroLeague · Regular season · 2026-27

Valencia @ Paris

Fri, Oct 23, 2:45 PM ETAdidas Arena

Final VAL 104 – 93 PAR

Valencia win probability

55.3%

Paris win probability

44.7%

Projected score

90.7–89.4

Projected spread

−1.2

model margin, not a betting line

Projected total

180.1

points

Model updated Fri, Oct 23, 1:45 PM ET · 1 h before tip-off

Probabilities, not guarantees. A team given 60% loses about 4 times in 10 when the model is well calibrated. DunkScope explains model outputs and gives no betting advice; betting is for adults only (18+ or your local legal age).

Pro analysis free today: the most open game of the day.

Elo rating

each team’s strength from its results; 1,500 is average

Valencia

1634

Over the last 5 games: ▲ +14

Season start: 1616

Paris

1504

Over the last 5 games: ▼ −14

Season start: 1528

ValenciaParis

Form in detail

this season, before the game

Valencia

Current streak · 3 wins

At home1–0

Away2–0

Points scored: 104.0 per game
Points allowed: 91.3 per game
Average margin: +12.7
Margin home / away: +23.0 / +7.5

Paris

Current streak · 1 win

At home1–1

Away0–1

Points scored: 77.7 per game
Points allowed: 87.0 per game
Average margin: −9.3
Margin home / away: −4.5 / −19.0

Head to head

latest meetings, all seasons

Valencia · 11 · Paris

Jan 20, 2026Valencia 98–84 Paris
Nov 13, 2025Paris 90–86 Valencia

Top scorers

Valencia

from 4 of the season’s 3 games: those with a complete box score

Mirotic Nikola15.5 points
18.0 min · 4 games
Shorts T.J.14.2 points
24.0 min · 4 games
Taylor Kameron13.2 points
25.8 min · 4 games
Brooks Armoni10.5 points
22.1 min · 4 games
Reuvers Nathan9.5 points
16.3 min · 4 games

Paris

from 5 of the season’s 3 games: those with a complete box score

N. Hifi20.7 points
25.9 min · 3 games
T. Etienne18.2 points
21.9 min · 5 games
Warren TJ12.8 points
20.8 min · 4 games
Rhoden Jared9.5 points
19.9 min · 4 games
Herrera Sebastian8.8 points
19.3 min · 5 games

Season so far

results known before the game

Valencia3–0

at Lyon-VilleurbanneW 105–92
vs BaskoniaW 111–88
at BesiktasW 96–94

Paris1–2

vs Zalgiris KaunasW 82–78
vs Partizan Mozzart BetL 79–92
at PanathinaikosL 72–91

How the prediction moved

every prediction is kept as made, never edited

24 h before tip-offPAR 46.9%
6 h before tip-offPAR 44.7%
1 h before tip-offPAR 44.7%

Model: Elo, tuned on the competition’s past seasons. It only reads results (no rosters, no injuries): take it as a starting point, not a certainty.