Skip to content
DunkScope

← All EuroLeague games

EuroLeague · Regular season · 2026-27

Fenerbahce @ Olympiacos

Peace and Friendship Stadium

Final FEN 64 – 61 OLY

Fenerbahce win probability

21.4%

Olympiacos win probability

78.6%

Projected score

77.3–85.7

Projected spread

+8.4

model margin, not a betting line

Projected total

163.0

points

Model updated Fri, Oct 23, 1:15 PM ET · 1 h before tip-off

Probabilities, not guarantees. A team given 60% loses about 4 times in 10 when the model is well calibrated. DunkScope explains model outputs and gives no betting advice; betting is for adults only (18+ or your local legal age).

Analysis ready

The full analysis is part of our plans

From €2.99 a month

  • Each team’s Elo rating and its curve over the season
  • The head-to-head record between the two teams
  • Form in detail: home, away, current streak, points margins
  • How hard the coming schedule is
  • Top scorers: points and minutes per game

Season so far

results known before the game

Fenerbahce3–0

  • vs DubaiW 76–66
  • vs BayernW 100–76
  • vs Virtus BolognaW 78–68

Olympiacos2–1

  • at Virtus BolognaL 94–96
  • at Zalgiris KaunasW 93–91
  • at BaskoniaW 106–89

How the prediction moved

every prediction is kept as made, never edited
  • 24 h before tip-offOLY 78.1%
  • 6 h before tip-offOLY 78.6%
  • 1 h before tip-offOLY 78.6%

Model: Elo, tuned on the competition’s past seasons. It only reads results (no rosters, no injuries): take it as a starting point, not a certainty.