Basketball Champions League · Regular season · 2026-27

Bonn @ Joventut Badalona

Wed, Oct 21, 2:00 PM ETPalau Municipal d

Final BON 74 – 76 JOV

Bonn win probability

23.9%

Joventut Badalona win probability

76.1%

Projected score

73.5–82.3

Projected spread

+8.9

model margin, not a betting line

Projected total

155.8

points

Model updated Wed, Oct 21, 1:05 PM ET · 1 h before tip-off

Probabilities, not guarantees. A team given 60% loses about 4 times in 10 when the model is well calibrated. DunkScope explains model outputs and gives no betting advice; betting is for adults only (18+ or your local legal age).

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Each team’s Elo rating and its curve over the season
The head-to-head record between the two teams
Form in detail: home, away, current streak, points margins
How hard the coming schedule is
Top scorers: points and minutes per game

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Season so far

results known before the game

Bonn1–0

vs FC PortoW 78–74

Joventut Badalona1–0

vs Bnei HerzliyaW 86–75

How the prediction moved

every prediction is kept as made, never edited

24 h before tip-offJOV 76.1%
6 h before tip-offJOV 76.1%
1 h before tip-offJOV 76.1%

Model: Elo, tuned on the competition’s past seasons. It only reads results (no rosters, no injuries): take it as a starting point, not a certainty.