2026-27 season
Basketball Champions League
The model’s win probability for every Basketball Champions League game, published 24 h before tip-off, then updated 6 h and 1 h before.
Model: Elo, tuned on the competition’s past seasons. It only reads results (no rosters, no injuries): take it as a starting point, not a certainty.
Upcoming
Tuesday, October 13, 2026
Wednesday, October 14, 2026
Sabah Baku
32.7%
Trabzonspor
67.3%
Projected 81.6–87.2 · 24 h before tip-off
Murcia
59.7%
Bamberg
40.3%
Projected 84.3–81.8 · 24 h before tip-off
Hapoel Holon
33.7%
Spartak Subotica
66.3%
Projected 78.6–83.9 · 24 h before tip-off
Slavia Prague ERA NBK
32.1%
Bilbao
67.9%
Projected 80.4–86.2 · 24 h before tip-off
Vechta
32.7%
Cholet
67.3%
Projected 85.4–91.0 · 24 h before tip-off
Tuesday, October 20, 2026
Unicaja
—
Pardubice
—
Probabilities appear Mon, Oct 19, 12:00 PM ET, 24 h before tip-off.
Salon Vilpas
—
Szombathely
—
Probabilities appear Mon, Oct 19, 12:00 PM ET, 24 h before tip-off.
Strasbourg
—
Galatasaray
—
Probabilities appear Mon, Oct 19, 1:00 PM ET, 24 h before tip-off.
Legia
—
Cibona
—
Probabilities appear Mon, Oct 19, 2:00 PM ET, 24 h before tip-off.
Model performance
No predicted game has finished this season yet: the record will show after the first games.
Validation on the 2023-24 – 2025-26 seasons: each season predicted by a model tuned on the earlier ones only.
| Log loss | Brier | Favourite won | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo model | 0.611 | 0.211 | 67.7% |
| Always the home team | 0.675 | 0.241 | 60.3% |
Probabilities, not guarantees. A team given 60% loses about 4 times in 10 when the model is well calibrated. DunkScope explains model outputs and gives no betting advice; betting is for adults only (18+ or your local legal age).