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Betclic ÉLITE · Regular season · 2026-27

Cholet @ Nanterre

Palais des Sports Maurice Thorez

Final CHO 69 – 86 NAN

Cholet win probability

40.3%

Nanterre win probability

59.7%

Projected score

76.7–79.8

Projected spread

+3.1

model margin, not a betting line

Projected total

156.5

points

Model updated Sat, Oct 24, 1:35 PM ET · 1 h before tip-off

Probabilities, not guarantees. A team given 60% loses about 4 times in 10 when the model is well calibrated. DunkScope explains model outputs and gives no betting advice; betting is for adults only (18+ or your local legal age).

Analysis ready

The full analysis is part of our plans

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  • Each team’s Elo rating and its curve over the season
  • The head-to-head record between the two teams
  • Form in detail: home, away, current streak, points margins
  • How hard the coming schedule is
  • Top scorers: points and minutes per game

Season so far

results known before the game

Cholet1–1

  • at NancyW 85–76
  • vs Lyon-VilleurbanneL 85–97

Nanterre1–1

  • at RoanneL 83–93
  • vs Pau-OrthezW 78–64

How the prediction moved

every prediction is kept as made, never edited
  • 24 h before tip-offNAN 59.7%
  • 6 h before tip-offNAN 59.7%
  • 1 h before tip-offNAN 59.7%

Model: Elo, tuned on the competition’s past seasons. It only reads results (no rosters, no injuries): take it as a starting point, not a certainty.