Tested on 3,959 NBA games
Understand every basketball game before the jump ball.
The win probability of every NBA game and its projected score, 24 h before tip-off.
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The model’s favorite won 66.3% of 3,959 tested games. See the performance
Tonight’s headline game
MIN–DET
Minnesota Timberwolves @ Detroit Pistons ·
Probabilities appear 24 h before tip-off.
See the game analysisGames
Wednesday, January 17, 2024
MIN Minnesota Timberwolves
124
DET Detroit Pistons
117
No prediction was published before tip-off.
ORL Orlando Magic
104
ATL Atlanta Hawks
106
No prediction was published before tip-off.
SAS San Antonio Spurs
98
BOS Boston Celtics
117
No prediction was published before tip-off.
MIL Milwaukee Bucks
95
CLE Cleveland Cavaliers
135
No prediction was published before tip-off.
HOU Houston Rockets
94
NYK New York Knicks
109
No prediction was published before tip-off.
MIA Miami Heat
97
TOR Toronto Raptors
121
No prediction was published before tip-off.
CHA Charlotte Hornets
112
NOP New Orleans Pelicans
132
No prediction was published before tip-off.
DAL Dallas Mavericks
110
LAL Los Angeles Lakers
127
No prediction was published before tip-off.
BKN Brooklyn Nets
103
POR Portland Trail Blazers
105
No prediction was published before tip-off.
Tip-off times are shown in your time zone.All 30 NBA teams →
What the full analysis holds
For every game, the model’s answer and everything behind it, updated 24 h, 6 h and 1 h before tip-off.
Win probabilities and projected score
Both teams’ recent form
Rest, schedule and travel
Injuries: the official report
What changed since the day before
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Our season record
Every prediction is published before the game, kept as made, then checked against the result. Nothing is edited by hand.
All competitions
63.2%
333 favourites won out of 527 games
NBA
62.9%
83 favourites won out of 132 games
13 competitions besides the NBA
63.3%
250 favourites won out of 395 games
A 60% favourite loses about 4 times in 10: a record is judged over hundreds of games. See the full performance
Frequently asked questions
1. Is DunkScope free?
Partly: every game’s mini-story and the model’s record are free, and an account gets one free analysis. Each game’s probabilities and full analysis are for subscribers (from €2.99 a month or €49 a year).
2. Why are the probabilities paid?
Because they are the core of the work: a model tested over whole seasons, updated 24 h, 6 h and 1 h before each game. Before the game, the story sets the stakes; the model’s answer is for subscribers. After the game, every prediction becomes public and is compared with the result.
3. How do the analyses work?
A statistical model computes the probabilities from past games: form, offensive and defensive efficiency, pace, rest, travel. It uses no data from after the prediction time. A short summary is then written automatically, by an AI, from the model’s numbers only; it never sets a probability.
4. Can I bet with DunkScope?
No. DunkScope is not a betting site: no odds, no picks sold as sure things, no betting advice. Probabilities, never guarantees. Betting is for adults only; if you bet, set limits.
5. Are the predictions reliable?
They are probabilities: a team given 60% loses about 4 times in 10. The Performance page automatically publishes the model’s results on every graded game and compares them with an Elo baseline.
6. When are probabilities published?
Published 24 h before every tip-off, then updated 6 h and 1 h before. Times are shown in your time zone.
Ready for tonight?
Probabilities, not guarantees. A team given 60% loses about 4 times in 10 when the model is well calibrated. DunkScope explains model outputs and gives no betting advice; betting is for adults only (18+ or your local legal age).