NBL · Regular season · 2026-27
Adelaide @ New Zealand Breakers
Spark Arena
Probabilities appear Thu, Oct 29, 2:30 AM ET, 24 h before tip-off, then are updated 6 h and 1 h before.
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Get my 3 free analysesProbabilities, not guarantees. A team given 60% loses about 4 times in 10 when the model is well calibrated. DunkScope explains model outputs and gives no betting advice; betting is for adults only (18+ or your local legal age).
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- Each team’s Elo rating and its curve over the season
- The head-to-head record between the two teams
- Form in detail: home, away, current streak, points margins
- How hard the coming schedule is
- Top scorers: points and minutes per game
Season so far
results known before the game
Adelaide4–5
- at South East MelbourneL 94–108
- at Tasmania JackJumpersW 94–88
- at SydneyW 84–78
- vs Melbourne UnitedL 91–96
- vs New Zealand BreakersL 72–88
New Zealand Breakers4–5
- at Cairns TaipansL 84–86
- at Tasmania JackJumpersL 92–98
- at SydneyW 102–101
- at PerthL 84–100
- at AdelaideW 88–72
Model: Elo, tuned on the competition’s past seasons. It only reads results (no rosters, no injuries): take it as a starting point, not a certainty.