NBL · Regular season · 2026-27
Sydney @ Melbourne United
John Cain Arena
Sydney win probability
58.1%
Melbourne United win probability
41.9%
Projected score
94.7–92.0
Projected spread
−2.7
model margin, not a betting line
Projected total
186.6
points
Model updated Sat, Oct 24, 2:05 AM ET · 24 h before tip-off
Probabilities, not guarantees. A team given 60% loses about 4 times in 10 when the model is well calibrated. DunkScope explains model outputs and gives no betting advice; betting is for adults only (18+ or your local legal age).
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- Each team’s Elo rating and its curve over the season
- The head-to-head record between the two teams
- Form in detail: home, away, current streak, points margins
- How hard the coming schedule is
- Top scorers: points and minutes per game
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Season so far
Sydney5–2
- at Illawarra HawksW 108–82
- vs PerthW 102–81
- vs New Zealand BreakersL 101–102
- vs AdelaideL 78–84
- vs Brisbane BulletsW 93–78
Melbourne United3–5
- at PerthL 102–103
- vs Illawarra HawksL 89–91
- at South East MelbourneW 104–99
- at AdelaideW 96–91
- vs Cairns TaipansL 95–107
Model: Elo, tuned on the competition’s past seasons. It only reads results (no rosters, no injuries): take it as a starting point, not a certainty.