NBL · Regular season · 2026-27
New Zealand Breakers @ Cairns Taipans
Cairns Convention Centre
New Zealand Breakers win probability
52.6%
Cairns Taipans win probability
47.4%
Projected score
94.2–93.4
Projected spread
−0.9
model margin, not a betting line
Projected total
187.6
points
Model updated Sat, Oct 24, 12:05 AM ET · 24 h before tip-off
Probabilities, not guarantees. A team given 60% loses about 4 times in 10 when the model is well calibrated. DunkScope explains model outputs and gives no betting advice; betting is for adults only (18+ or your local legal age).
Pro analysis free today: the most open game of the day.
Elo rating
New Zealand Breakers
1511
Over the last 5 games: ▲ +22
Season start: 1491
Cairns Taipans
1433
Over the last 5 games: ▲ +19
Season start: 1418
Form in detail
New Zealand Breakers
Current streak · 1 loss
- Points scored
- 92.1 per game
- Points allowed
- 89.0 per game
- Average margin
- +3.1
- Margin home / away
- +18.5 / −2.0
Cairns Taipans
Current streak · 1 loss
- Points scored
- 90.5 per game
- Points allowed
- 97.5 per game
- Average margin
- −7.0
- Margin home / away
- +6.0 / −11.3
Head to head
- Sep 30, 2026New Zealand Breakers 98–75 Cairns Taipans
- Feb 19, 2026New Zealand Breakers 115–84 Cairns Taipans
- Jan 17, 2026Cairns Taipans 86–104 New Zealand Breakers
- Dec 19, 2025Cairns Taipans 99–95 New Zealand Breakers
- Nov 22, 2025Cairns Taipans 96–102 New Zealand Breakers
- Feb 1, 2025New Zealand Breakers 99–92 Cairns Taipans
Coming schedule
New Zealand Breakers
- AdelaideOct 30 · vs1501
- Melbourne UnitedNov 2 · at1513
- Tasmania JackJumpersNov 6 · at1515
- Brisbane BulletsNov 13 · vs1418
- SydneyNov 15 · at1630
Opponents’ average rating: 1515 (league average: 1,500) · a tougher schedule than average
Cairns Taipans
- Brisbane BulletsOct 29 · at1418
- Melbourne UnitedOct 31 · vs1513
- Illawarra HawksNov 5 · vs1409
- PerthNov 8 · at1536
- SydneyNov 13 · vs1630
Opponents’ average rating: 1501 (league average: 1,500) · a tougher schedule than average
Top scorers
New Zealand Breakers
from 5 of the season’s 8 games: those with a complete box score
- Jackson Parker25.8 points
37.2 min · 4 games
- Mennenga Samuel21.4 points
33.2 min · 5 games
- Vasiljevic Dejan14.4 points
26.3 min · 5 games
- M. King12.2 points
24.6 min · 5 games
- Davison Carlin7.2 points
19.9 min · 5 games
Cairns Taipans
from 8 of the season’s 8 games: those with a complete box score
- McVeigh Jack17.0 points
31.0 min · 8 games
- Pinder Keanu15.1 points
24.2 min · 8 games
- Brown Jaylon13.9 points
27.5 min · 8 games
- Bolden Jonah Anthony11.0 points
20.7 min · 8 games
- R. Smith10.2 points
22.0 min · 8 games
Season so far
New Zealand Breakers4–4
- at Tasmania JackJumpersL 92–98
- at SydneyW 102–101
- at PerthL 84–100
- at AdelaideW 88–72
- vs Cairns TaipansW 98–75
Cairns Taipans4–4
- at South East MelbourneL 83–115
- at Illawarra HawksW 110–100
- vs Brisbane BulletsW 97–91
- at Melbourne UnitedW 107–95
- at New Zealand BreakersL 75–98
Model: Elo, tuned on the competition’s past seasons. It only reads results (no rosters, no injuries): take it as a starting point, not a certainty.