NBL · Regular season · 2026-27
Brisbane Bullets @ Illawarra Hawks
WIN Entertainment Centre
Brisbane Bullets win probability
35.7%
Illawarra Hawks win probability
64.3%
Projected score
95.9–100.8
Projected spread
+5.0
model margin, not a betting line
Projected total
196.7
points
Model updated Sat, Oct 24, 1:35 AM ET · 1 h before tip-off
Probabilities, not guarantees. A team given 60% loses about 4 times in 10 when the model is well calibrated. DunkScope explains model outputs and gives no betting advice; betting is for adults only (18+ or your local legal age).
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- Each team’s Elo rating and its curve over the season
- The head-to-head record between the two teams
- Form in detail: home, away, current streak, points margins
- How hard the coming schedule is
- Top scorers: points and minutes per game
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Season so far
Brisbane Bullets3–4
- at Tasmania JackJumpersL 85–106
- vs South East MelbourneW 115–105
- at Cairns TaipansL 91–97
- vs Tasmania JackJumpersL 99–109
- at SydneyL 78–93
Illawarra Hawks2–7
- vs SydneyL 82–108
- at Melbourne UnitedW 91–89
- vs Cairns TaipansL 100–110
- vs Tasmania JackJumpersL 112–122
- at South East MelbourneL 96–113
How the prediction moved
- 24 h before tip-offILL 64.3%
- 6 h before tip-offILL 64.3%
- 1 h before tip-offILL 64.3%
Model: Elo, tuned on the competition’s past seasons. It only reads results (no rosters, no injuries): take it as a starting point, not a certainty.