NBL · Regular season · 2026-27
Melbourne United @ Perth
RAC Arena
Melbourne United win probability
39.3%
Perth win probability
60.7%
Projected score
88.2–91.9
Projected spread
+3.7
model margin, not a betting line
Projected total
180.1
points
Model updated Thu, Oct 22, 6:35 AM ET · 24 h before tip-off
Probabilities, not guarantees. A team given 60% loses about 4 times in 10 when the model is well calibrated. DunkScope explains model outputs and gives no betting advice; betting is for adults only (18+ or your local legal age).
Pro analysis free today: the most open game of the day.
Elo rating
Melbourne United
1517
Over the last 5 games: ▼ −19
Season start: 1507
Perth
1532
Over the last 5 games: ▲ +17
Season start: 1541
Form in detail
Melbourne United
Current streak · 1 loss
- Points scored
- 92.4 per game
- Points allowed
- 90.0 per game
- Average margin
- +2.4
- Margin home / away
- −5.3 / +8.2
Perth
Current streak · 1 loss
- Points scored
- 91.2 per game
- Points allowed
- 94.0 per game
- Average margin
- −2.8
- Margin home / away
- +0.8 / −21.0
Head to head
- Mar 7, 2026Perth 95–77 Melbourne United
- Jan 25, 2026Perth 73–74 Melbourne United
- Dec 4, 2025Perth 96–84 Melbourne United
- Nov 23, 2025Melbourne United 98–87 Perth
- Mar 4, 2025Melbourne United 113–112 Perth
- Mar 1, 2025Perth 96–89 Melbourne United
Coming schedule
Melbourne United
- SydneyOct 25 · vs1630
- Cairns TaipansOct 31 · at1433
- New Zealand BreakersNov 2 · vs1511
- Brisbane BulletsNov 7 · vs1392
- AdelaideNov 12 · at1513
Opponents’ average rating: 1496 (league average: 1,500) · an easier schedule than average
Perth
- SydneyOct 28 · vs1630
- Illawarra HawksOct 31 · vs1434
- Brisbane BulletsNov 4 · at1392
- Cairns TaipansNov 8 · vs1433
- Tasmania JackJumpersNov 12 · vs1515
Opponents’ average rating: 1481 (league average: 1,500) · an easier schedule than average
Top scorers
Melbourne United
from 7 of the season’s 7 games: those with a complete box score
- Anthony Cole23.6 points
26.0 min · 7 games
- Oduro Josh17.3 points
26.1 min · 7 games
- Travers Luke13.3 points
28.1 min · 7 games
- Goulding Chris12.0 points
25.8 min · 2 games
- Ingles Joe11.4 points
24.5 min · 7 games
Perth
from 3 of the season’s 6 games: those with a complete box score
- Lual-Acuil Joseph21.0 points
30.8 min · 1 games
- A. Dell'Orso18.3 points
25.7 min · 3 games
- Doolittle Kristian17.0 points
37.2 min · 2 games
- E. Pepper16.7 points
30.2 min · 3 games
- Windler Dylan16.3 points
33.7 min · 3 games
Season so far
Melbourne United3–4
- vs Illawarra HawksL 89–91
- at South East MelbourneW 104–99
- at AdelaideW 96–91
- vs Cairns TaipansL 95–107
- at Tasmania JackJumpersL 82–84
Perth4–2
- at SydneyL 81–102
- vs New Zealand BreakersW 100–84
- vs South East MelbourneW 92–88
- vs New Zealand BreakersW 97–93
- vs AdelaideW 98–97
Model: Elo, tuned on the competition’s past seasons. It only reads results (no rosters, no injuries): take it as a starting point, not a certainty.