NBL · Regular season · 2026-27
Brisbane Bullets @ Tasmania JackJumpers
MyState Bank Arena
Brisbane Bullets win probability
28.3%
Tasmania JackJumpers win probability
71.7%
Projected score
90.2–98.0
Projected spread
+7.8
model margin, not a betting line
Projected total
188.2
points
Model updated Tue, Oct 20, 4:35 AM ET · 24 h before tip-off
Probabilities, not guarantees. A team given 60% loses about 4 times in 10 when the model is well calibrated. DunkScope explains model outputs and gives no betting advice; betting is for adults only (18+ or your local legal age).
Pro analysis free today: the most open game of the day.
Elo rating
Brisbane Bullets
1402
Over the last 5 games: ▲ +6
Season start: 1388
Tasmania JackJumpers
1504
Over the last 5 games: ▲ +30
Season start: 1475
Form in detail
Brisbane Bullets
Current streak · 1 win
- Points scored
- 95.7 per game
- Points allowed
- 97.3 per game
- Average margin
- −1.7
- Margin home / away
- +2.8 / −10.5
Tasmania JackJumpers
Current streak · 1 win
- Points scored
- 97.7 per game
- Points allowed
- 94.7 per game
- Average margin
- +3.0
- Margin home / away
- +1.8 / +4.7
Head to head
- Oct 3, 2026Brisbane Bullets 99–109 Tasmania JackJumpers
- Feb 6, 2026Tasmania JackJumpers 114–70 Brisbane Bullets
- Nov 8, 2025Tasmania JackJumpers 81–83 Brisbane Bullets
- Oct 4, 2025Brisbane Bullets 82–84 Tasmania JackJumpers
- Dec 29, 2024Tasmania JackJumpers 95–86 Brisbane Bullets
- Nov 15, 2024Tasmania JackJumpers 95–92 Brisbane Bullets
Coming schedule
Brisbane Bullets
- Illawarra HawksOct 24 · at1450
- Cairns TaipansOct 29 · vs1433
- AdelaideNov 1 · at1513
- PerthNov 4 · vs1532
- Melbourne UnitedNov 7 · at1517
Opponents’ average rating: 1489 (league average: 1,500) · an easier schedule than average
Tasmania JackJumpers
- SydneyOct 30 · vs1613
- South East MelbourneNov 1 · at1526
- New Zealand BreakersNov 6 · vs1511
- PerthNov 12 · at1532
- Brisbane BulletsNov 15 · at1402
Opponents’ average rating: 1517 (league average: 1,500) · a tougher schedule than average
Top scorers
Brisbane Bullets
from 6 of the season’s 6 games: those with a complete box score
- Hinton Nate18.3 points
31.4 min · 6 games
- Harrison Tyrrell17.7 points
27.1 min · 6 games
- M. Mackinnon17.2 points
30.6 min · 6 games
- Velicka Arnas13.8 points
34.2 min · 5 games
- J. Williams11.2 points
26.3 min · 6 games
Tasmania JackJumpers
from 7 of the season’s 7 games: those with a complete box score
- Armstrong Taran21.3 points
34.0 min · 7 games
- Johnson David17.9 points
22.5 min · 7 games
- Magnay Will16.3 points
29.5 min · 7 games
- Bannan Joshua14.2 points
28.9 min · 5 games
- Mathias Dakota13.6 points
32.2 min · 7 games
Season so far
Brisbane Bullets3–3
- vs South East MelbourneW 115–105
- at Cairns TaipansL 91–97
- vs Tasmania JackJumpersL 99–109
- at SydneyL 78–93
- vs Illawarra HawksW 103–95
Tasmania JackJumpers5–2
- vs New Zealand BreakersW 98–92
- vs AdelaideL 88–94
- at Illawarra HawksW 122–112
- at Brisbane BulletsW 109–99
- vs Melbourne UnitedW 84–82
Model: Elo, tuned on the competition’s past seasons. It only reads results (no rosters, no injuries): take it as a starting point, not a certainty.