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Liga ACB · Regular season · 2026-27

Real Madrid @ Forca Lleida

Pavelló Barris Nord

Final REA 122 – 86 FOR

Real Madrid win probability

86.1%

Forca Lleida win probability

13.9%

Projected score

103.7–91.9

Projected spread

−11.7

model margin, not a betting line

Projected total

195.6

points

Model updated Sun, Oct 25, 1:05 PM ET · 1 h before tip-off

Probabilities, not guarantees. A team given 60% loses about 4 times in 10 when the model is well calibrated. DunkScope explains model outputs and gives no betting advice; betting is for adults only (18+ or your local legal age).

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  • Each team’s Elo rating and its curve over the season
  • The head-to-head record between the two teams
  • Form in detail: home, away, current streak, points margins
  • How hard the coming schedule is
  • Top scorers: points and minutes per game

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Season so far

results known before the game

Real Madrid4–0

  • vs BilbaoW 119–84
  • vs ManresaW 120–83
  • at Obradoiro CABW 114–107
  • vs UnicajaW 89–87

Forca Lleida1–3

  • at Basket ZaragozaL 98–109
  • at Obradoiro CABL 89–91
  • vs San Pablo BurgosL 81–94
  • at ValenciaW 105–100

How the prediction moved

every prediction is kept as made, never edited
  • 24 h before tip-offFOR 13.9%
  • 6 h before tip-offFOR 13.9%
  • 1 h before tip-offFOR 13.9%

Model: Elo, tuned on the competition’s past seasons. It only reads results (no rosters, no injuries): take it as a starting point, not a certainty.