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Liga ACB · Regular season · 2026-27

Baskonia @ Valencia

Roig Arena

Final BAS 75 – 84 VAL

Baskonia win probability

21.2%

Valencia win probability

78.8%

Projected score

85.8–94.6

Projected spread

+8.8

model margin, not a betting line

Projected total

180.4

points

Model updated Sun, Oct 25, 11:05 AM ET · 1 h before tip-off

Probabilities, not guarantees. A team given 60% loses about 4 times in 10 when the model is well calibrated. DunkScope explains model outputs and gives no betting advice; betting is for adults only (18+ or your local legal age).

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  • Each team’s Elo rating and its curve over the season
  • The head-to-head record between the two teams
  • Form in detail: home, away, current streak, points margins
  • How hard the coming schedule is
  • Top scorers: points and minutes per game

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Season so far

results known before the game

Baskonia3–1

  • at TenerifeL 77–82
  • vs Joventut BadalonaW 93–73
  • vs Basquet GironaW 118–78
  • at San Pablo BurgosW 98–97

Valencia2–2

  • vs MurciaW 116–93
  • at BarcelonaL 86–89
  • at Basket ZaragozaW 97–82
  • vs Forca LleidaL 100–105

How the prediction moved

every prediction is kept as made, never edited
  • 24 h before tip-offVAL 78.8%
  • 6 h before tip-offVAL 78.8%
  • 1 h before tip-offVAL 78.8%

Model: Elo, tuned on the competition’s past seasons. It only reads results (no rosters, no injuries): take it as a starting point, not a certainty.