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Liga ACB · Regular season · 2026-27

Basket Zaragoza @ Barcelona

Palau Blaugrana

Final BAS 81 – 99 BAR

Basket Zaragoza win probability

11.6%

Barcelona win probability

88.4%

Projected score

86.2–99.7

Projected spread

+13.5

model margin, not a betting line

Projected total

185.9

points

Model updated Sat, Oct 24, 2:05 PM ET · 1 h before tip-off

Probabilities, not guarantees. A team given 60% loses about 4 times in 10 when the model is well calibrated. DunkScope explains model outputs and gives no betting advice; betting is for adults only (18+ or your local legal age).

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  • Each team’s Elo rating and its curve over the season
  • The head-to-head record between the two teams
  • Form in detail: home, away, current streak, points margins
  • How hard the coming schedule is
  • Top scorers: points and minutes per game

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Season so far

results known before the game

Basket Zaragoza3–1

  • vs Forca LleidaW 109–98
  • at Leyma CorunaW 92–71
  • vs ValenciaL 82–97
  • at TenerifeW 81–80

Barcelona2–2

  • at Joventut BadalonaL 89–113
  • vs ValenciaW 89–86
  • at MurciaL 94–100
  • vs Leyma CorunaW 119–101

How the prediction moved

every prediction is kept as made, never edited
  • 24 h before tip-offBAR 88.4%
  • 6 h before tip-offBAR 88.4%
  • 1 h before tip-offBAR 88.4%

Model: Elo, tuned on the competition’s past seasons. It only reads results (no rosters, no injuries): take it as a starting point, not a certainty.