Liga ACB · Regular season · 2026-27
Joventut Badalona @ Basquet Girona
Pavello Fontajau
Joventut Badalona win probability
59.1%
Basquet Girona win probability
40.9%
Projected score
88.6–86.4
Projected spread
−2.2
model margin, not a betting line
Projected total
174.9
points
Model updated Sun, Oct 25, 1:05 AM ET · 6 h before tip-off
Probabilities, not guarantees. A team given 60% loses about 4 times in 10 when the model is well calibrated. DunkScope explains model outputs and gives no betting advice; betting is for adults only (18+ or your local legal age).
Analysis ready
The full analysis is part of Pro
€5.99/month or €49/year
- Each team’s Elo rating and its curve over the season
- The head-to-head record between the two teams
- Form in detail: home, away, current streak, points margins
- How hard the coming schedule is
- Top scorers: points and minutes per game
Coming soon: the Pro offer opens shortly. Everything else on the site is free in the meantime.
Season so far
Joventut Badalona2–2
- vs BarcelonaW 113–89
- vs MoraBanc AndorraW 96–75
- at BaskoniaL 73–93
- at BreoganL 104–110
Basquet Girona2–2
- vs Leyma CorunaW 110–90
- at BreoganL 92–115
- at BaskoniaL 78–118
- vs MurciaW 84–77
How the prediction moved
- 24 h before tip-offBAS 40.9%
- 6 h before tip-offBAS 40.9%
Model: Elo, tuned on the competition’s past seasons. It only reads results (no rosters, no injuries): take it as a starting point, not a certainty.