Liga ACB · Regular season · 2026-27

San Pablo Burgos @ Manresa

Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ETPavelló Nou Congost

San Pablo Burgos win probability

29.8%

Manresa win probability

70.2%

Projected score

88.2–94.0

Projected spread

+5.8

model margin, not a betting line

Projected total

182.2

points

Model updated Sat, Oct 24, 11:05 AM ET · 1 h before tip-off

Probabilities, not guarantees. A team given 60% loses about 4 times in 10 when the model is well calibrated. DunkScope explains model outputs and gives no betting advice; betting is for adults only (18+ or your local legal age).

Pro analysis free today: the most open game of the day.

Elo rating

each team’s strength from its results; 1,500 is average

San Pablo Burgos

1477

Over the last 5 games: —

Season start: 1481

Manresa

1526

Over the last 5 games: —

Season start: 1553

San Pablo BurgosManresa

Form in detail

this season, before the game

San Pablo Burgos

Current streak · 2 losses

At home0–2

Away1–1

Points scored: 87.5 per game
Points allowed: 88.5 per game
Average margin: −1.0
Margin home / away: −4.0 / +2.0

Manresa

Current streak · 4 losses

At home0–2

Away0–2

Points scored: 85.5 per game
Points allowed: 103.0 per game
Average margin: −17.5
Margin home / away: −9.0 / −26.0

Head to head

latest meetings, all seasons

San Pablo Burgos · 33 · Manresa

Apr 26, 2026Manresa 94–101 San Pablo Burgos
Dec 20, 2025San Pablo Burgos 100–102 Manresa
Jan 30, 2022Manresa 93–68 San Pablo Burgos
Nov 6, 2021San Pablo Burgos 82–90 Manresa
Jan 31, 2021Manresa 87–101 San Pablo Burgos
Dec 19, 2020San Pablo Burgos 91–80 Manresa

Top scorers

San Pablo Burgos

from 3 of the season’s 4 games: those with a complete box score

D. Steward15.7 points
23.2 min · 3 games
C. Audige13.0 points
20.2 min · 3 games
Doumbouya Sekou12.0 points
20.7 min · 3 games
Samar Ziga11.7 points
21.4 min · 3 games
Koprivica Balsa11.7 points
18.2 min · 3 games

Manresa

from 4 of the season’s 4 games: those with a complete box score

T. Allen20.5 points
24.0 min · 2 games
J. Notae13.0 points
20.0 min · 4 games
Oriola Pierre11.5 points
20.3 min · 2 games
Kolenda Lukasz10.3 points
21.5 min · 3 games
N. Ongenda10.2 points
16.2 min · 4 games

Season so far

results known before the game

San Pablo Burgos1–3

vs Obradoiro CABL 72–79
at BilbaoL 87–96
at Forca LleidaW 94–81
vs BaskoniaL 97–98

Manresa0–4

vs UnicajaL 72–84
at Real MadridL 83–120
vs BreoganL 95–101
at BilbaoL 92–107

How the prediction moved

every prediction is kept as made, never edited

24 h before tip-offMAN 70.2%
6 h before tip-offMAN 70.2%
1 h before tip-offMAN 70.2%

Model: Elo, tuned on the competition’s past seasons. It only reads results (no rosters, no injuries): take it as a starting point, not a certainty.