LFB (women) · Regular season · 2026-27

ESB Villeneuve W @ Lyon W

Fri, Oct 23, 2:00 PM ETGymnase Mado Bonnet

Final ESB 86 – 77 LYO

ESB Villeneuve W win probability

29.4%

Lyon W win probability

70.6%

Projected score

63.2–69.8

Projected spread

+6.6

model margin, not a betting line

Projected total

132.9

points

Model updated Fri, Oct 23, 1:05 PM ET · 1 h before tip-off

Probabilities, not guarantees. A team given 60% loses about 4 times in 10 when the model is well calibrated. DunkScope explains model outputs and gives no betting advice; betting is for adults only (18+ or your local legal age).

Pro analysis free today: the most open game of the day.

Elo rating

each team’s strength from its results; 1,500 is average

ESB Villeneuve W

1481

Over the last 5 games: ▼ −21

Season start: 1502

Lyon W

1553

Over the last 5 games: ▲ +19

Season start: 1534

ESB Villeneuve WLyon W

Form in detail

this season, before the game

ESB Villeneuve W

Current streak · 1 win

At home2–1

Away0–2

Points scored: 62.8 per game
Points allowed: 61.0 per game
Average margin: +1.8
Margin home / away: +7.7 / −7.0

Lyon W

Current streak · 1 win

At home1–1

Away2–1

Points scored: 69.6 per game
Points allowed: 67.0 per game
Average margin: +2.6
Margin home / away: +2.0 / +3.0

Head to head

latest meetings, all seasons

ESB Villeneuve W · 24 · Lyon W

Feb 20, 2026Lyon W 64–67 ESB Villeneuve W
Nov 29, 2025ESB Villeneuve W 65–92 Lyon W
Jan 12, 2025Lyon W 75–70 ESB Villeneuve W
Oct 6, 2024ESB Villeneuve W 57–69 Lyon W
Mar 16, 2024Lyon W 62–97 ESB Villeneuve W
Nov 26, 2023ESB Villeneuve W 82–84 Lyon W

Top scorers

ESB Villeneuve W

from 2 of the season’s 5 games: those with a complete box score

A. Ngo Ndjock15.5 points
34.1 min · 2 games
Jespersen Maria10.0 points
28.0 min · 2 games
Milapie Marie-Michelle10.0 points
32.6 min · 2 games
Kostowicz Stephanie9.5 points
29.0 min · 2 games
S. Colas8.0 points
32.9 min · 2 games

Lyon W

from 1 of the season’s 5 games: those with a complete box score

Johnson Asianae17.0 points
26.1 min · 1 games
S. Peytour13.0 points
29.0 min · 1 games
Risacher Ainhoa10.0 points
37.9 min · 1 games
Mununga Bethy9.0 points
24.0 min · 1 games
O. Yale7.0 points
30.3 min · 1 games

Season so far

results known before the game

ESB Villeneuve W2–3

vs Chartres WW 80–57
at Lattes Montpellier WL 61–62
vs Landerneau Bretagne WL 59–74
at Landes WL 44–57
vs Toulouse WW 70–55

Lyon W3–2

at Angers WW 69–63
vs Bourges WL 59–72
at Charnay Bourgogne Sud WL 69–74
vs Tronche Meylan WW 73–56
at Flammes Carolo WW 78–70

How the prediction moved

every prediction is kept as made, never edited

24 h before tip-offLYO 70.6%
6 h before tip-offLYO 70.6%
1 h before tip-offLYO 70.6%

Model: Elo, tuned on the competition’s past seasons. It only reads results (no rosters, no injuries): take it as a starting point, not a certainty.