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FIBA Europe Cup · Regular season · 2026-27

BC Prievidza @ Benfica

Pavilhão Fidelidade

Final BCP 83 – 98 BEN

BC Prievidza win probability

40.5%

Benfica win probability

59.5%

Projected score

77.7–81.5

Projected spread

+3.8

model margin, not a betting line

Projected total

159.1

points

Model updated Wed, Oct 21, 2:05 PM ET · 1 h before tip-off

Probabilities, not guarantees. A team given 60% loses about 4 times in 10 when the model is well calibrated. DunkScope explains model outputs and gives no betting advice; betting is for adults only (18+ or your local legal age).

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  • Each team’s Elo rating and its curve over the season
  • The head-to-head record between the two teams
  • Form in detail: home, away, current streak, points margins
  • How hard the coming schedule is
  • Top scorers: points and minutes per game

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Season so far

results known before the game

BC Prievidza3–1

  • vs Absheron LionsW 108–84
  • at Denizli BasketL 69–83
  • vs SamoborW 98–65
  • at SamoborW 103–83

Benfica2–0

  • vs Denizli BasketW 96–91
  • at Bakken BearsW 91–81

How the prediction moved

every prediction is kept as made, never edited
  • 24 h before tip-offBEN 59.5%
  • 6 h before tip-offBEN 59.5%
  • 1 h before tip-offBEN 59.5%

Model: Elo, tuned on the competition’s past seasons. It only reads results (no rosters, no injuries): take it as a starting point, not a certainty.