FIBA Europe Cup · Regular season · 2026-27
Absheron Lions @ Bakken Bears
Vejlby-Risskov Hallen
Final ABS 88 – 91 BAK
Absheron Lions win probability
30.9%
Bakken Bears win probability
69.1%
Projected score
87.2–95.6
Projected spread
+8.4
model margin, not a betting line
Projected total
182.8
points
Model updated Wed, Oct 21, 11:35 AM ET · 1 h before tip-off
Probabilities, not guarantees. A team given 60% loses about 4 times in 10 when the model is well calibrated. DunkScope explains model outputs and gives no betting advice; betting is for adults only (18+ or your local legal age).
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- Each team’s Elo rating and its curve over the season
- The head-to-head record between the two teams
- Form in detail: home, away, current streak, points margins
- How hard the coming schedule is
- Top scorers: points and minutes per game
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Season so far
Absheron Lions0–2
- at BC PrievidzaL 84–108
- vs Geneva LionsL 83–105
Bakken Bears1–1
- at Geneva LionsW 78–73
- vs BenficaL 81–91
How the prediction moved
- 24 h before tip-offBAK 69.1%
- 6 h before tip-offBAK 69.1%
- 1 h before tip-offBAK 69.1%
Model: Elo, tuned on the competition’s past seasons. It only reads results (no rosters, no injuries): take it as a starting point, not a certainty.