FIBA Europe Cup · Regular season · 2026-27
Denizli Basket @ Geneva Lions
Pavilion des Sports
Final DEN 80 – 76 GEN
Denizli Basket win probability
40.9%
Geneva Lions win probability
59.1%
Projected score
82.2–85.8
Projected spread
+3.6
model margin, not a betting line
Projected total
168.0
points
Model updated Wed, Oct 21, 1:35 PM ET · 1 h before tip-off
Probabilities, not guarantees. A team given 60% loses about 4 times in 10 when the model is well calibrated. DunkScope explains model outputs and gives no betting advice; betting is for adults only (18+ or your local legal age).
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- Each team’s Elo rating and its curve over the season
- The head-to-head record between the two teams
- Form in detail: home, away, current streak, points margins
- How hard the coming schedule is
- Top scorers: points and minutes per game
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Season so far
Denizli Basket1–1
- at BenficaL 91–96
- vs BC PrievidzaW 83–69
Geneva Lions1–1
- vs Bakken BearsL 73–78
- at Absheron LionsW 105–83
How the prediction moved
- 24 h before tip-offGEN 59.1%
- 6 h before tip-offGEN 59.1%
- 1 h before tip-offGEN 59.1%
Model: Elo, tuned on the competition’s past seasons. It only reads results (no rosters, no injuries): take it as a starting point, not a certainty.