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DunkScope

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FIBA Europe Cup · Regular season · 2026-27

Gence @ Rilski Sportist

Arena Samokov

Gence win probability

58.9%

Rilski Sportist win probability

41.1%

Projected score

76.2–72.0

Projected spread

−4.2

model margin, not a betting line

Projected total

148.1

points

Model updated Wed, Oct 21, 6:05 AM ET · 6 h before tip-off

Probabilities, not guarantees. A team given 60% loses about 4 times in 10 when the model is well calibrated. DunkScope explains model outputs and gives no betting advice; betting is for adults only (18+ or your local legal age).

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  • Each team’s Elo rating and its curve over the season
  • The head-to-head record between the two teams
  • Form in detail: home, away, current streak, points margins
  • How hard the coming schedule is
  • Top scorers: points and minutes per game

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Season so far

results known before the game

Gence0–2

  • vs Kolossos RhodesL 62–80
  • at Esenler EroksporL 63–92

Rilski Sportist0–2

  • vs Esenler EroksporL 62–94
  • at Sporting CPL 75–79

How the prediction moved

every prediction is kept as made, never edited
  • 24 h before tip-offRIL 41.1%
  • 6 h before tip-offRIL 41.1%

Model: Elo, tuned on the competition’s past seasons. It only reads results (no rosters, no injuries): take it as a starting point, not a certainty.