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FIBA Europe Cup · Regular season · 2026-27

Esenler Erokspor @ Rilski Sportist

Arena Samokov

Esenler Erokspor win probability

70.9%

Rilski Sportist win probability

29.1%

Projected score

81.7–71.7

Projected spread

−10.0

model margin, not a betting line

Projected total

153.3

points

Model updated Tue, Oct 13, 1:02 PM ET · 24 h before tip-off

Probabilities, not guarantees. A team given 60% loses about 4 times in 10 when the model is well calibrated. DunkScope explains model outputs and gives no betting advice; betting is for adults only (18+ or your local legal age).

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  • Each team’s Elo rating and its curve over the season
  • The head-to-head record between the two teams
  • Form in detail: home, away, current streak, points margins
  • How hard the coming schedule is
  • Top scorers: points and minutes per game

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Season so far

results known before the game

Esenler Erokspor1–0

  • vs GenceW 92–63

Rilski Sportist0–1

  • at Sporting CPL 75–79

Model: Elo, tuned on the competition’s past seasons. It only reads results (no rosters, no injuries): take it as a starting point, not a certainty.