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EuroCup · Regular season · 2026-27

Tofas @ Basket Napoli

PalaBarbuto

Tofas win probability

33.9%

Basket Napoli win probability

66.1%

Projected score

85.2–90.3

Projected spread

+5.1

model margin, not a betting line

Projected total

175.4

points

Model updated Wed, Oct 21, 1:05 PM ET · 1 h before tip-off

Probabilities, not guarantees. A team given 60% loses about 4 times in 10 when the model is well calibrated. DunkScope explains model outputs and gives no betting advice; betting is for adults only (18+ or your local legal age).

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  • Each team’s Elo rating and its curve over the season
  • The head-to-head record between the two teams
  • Form in detail: home, away, current streak, points margins
  • How hard the coming schedule is
  • Top scorers: points and minutes per game

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Season so far

results known before the game

Tofas3–0

  • vs BuducnostW 90–85
  • at JL BourgW 89–82
  • vs ChemnitzW 82–69

Basket Napoli3–0

  • at Slask WroclawW 86–82
  • at BuducnostW 93–75
  • vs JL BourgW 84–76

How the prediction moved

every prediction is kept as made, never edited
  • 24 h before tip-offBAS 66.1%
  • 6 h before tip-offBAS 66.1%
  • 1 h before tip-offBAS 66.1%

Model: Elo, tuned on the competition’s past seasons. It only reads results (no rosters, no injuries): take it as a starting point, not a certainty.