EuroCup · Regular season · 2026-27
San Pablo Burgos @ Tortona
Cittadella dello Sport
Final SAN 79 – 89 TOR
San Pablo Burgos win probability
39.9%
Tortona win probability
60.1%
Projected score
82.3–85.4
Projected spread
+3.1
model margin, not a betting line
Projected total
167.7
points
Model updated Wed, Oct 21, 12:05 PM ET · 1 h before tip-off
Probabilities, not guarantees. A team given 60% loses about 4 times in 10 when the model is well calibrated. DunkScope explains model outputs and gives no betting advice; betting is for adults only (18+ or your local legal age).
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- Each team’s Elo rating and its curve over the season
- The head-to-head record between the two teams
- Form in detail: home, away, current streak, points margins
- How hard the coming schedule is
- Top scorers: points and minutes per game
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Season so far
San Pablo Burgos1–2
- vs Hapoel JerusalemL 84–85
- at ArisL 80–93
- vs Cedevita OlimpijaW 85–81
Tortona1–2
- at ArisL 68–88
- vs Le MansW 89–83
- at Rigas ZelliL 84–86
How the prediction moved
- 24 h before tip-offTOR 60.1%
- 6 h before tip-offTOR 60.1%
- 1 h before tip-offTOR 60.1%
Model: Elo, tuned on the competition’s past seasons. It only reads results (no rosters, no injuries): take it as a starting point, not a certainty.