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EuroCup · Regular season · 2026-27

Tortona @ Aris

Alexandreio Mellathron

Tortona win probability

43.9%

Aris win probability

56.1%

Projected score

87.3–89.1

Projected spread

+1.8

model margin, not a betting line

Projected total

176.4

points

Model updated Tue, Oct 13, 1:02 PM ET · 24 h before tip-off

Probabilities, not guarantees. A team given 60% loses about 4 times in 10 when the model is well calibrated. DunkScope explains model outputs and gives no betting advice; betting is for adults only (18+ or your local legal age).

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  • Each team’s Elo rating and its curve over the season
  • The head-to-head record between the two teams
  • Form in detail: home, away, current streak, points margins
  • How hard the coming schedule is
  • Top scorers: points and minutes per game

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Season so far

results known before the game

Tortona1–1

  • vs Le MansW 89–83
  • at Rigas ZelliL 84–86

Aris2–0

  • vs San Pablo BurgosW 93–80
  • at Le MansW 87–74

Model: Elo, tuned on the competition’s past seasons. It only reads results (no rosters, no injuries): take it as a starting point, not a certainty.