ÉLITE 2 · Regular season · 2026-27

Poitiers @ Caen

Fri, Oct 23, 2:00 PM ETPalais des Sports Caen la mer

Final POI 79 – 74 CAE

Poitiers win probability

53.4%

Caen win probability

46.6%

Projected score

87.0–86.1

Projected spread

−0.9

model margin, not a betting line

Projected total

173.1

points

Model updated Fri, Oct 23, 1:05 PM ET · 1 h before tip-off

Probabilities, not guarantees. A team given 60% loses about 4 times in 10 when the model is well calibrated. DunkScope explains model outputs and gives no betting advice; betting is for adults only (18+ or your local legal age).

Pro analysis free today: the most open game of the day.

Elo rating

each team’s strength from its results; 1,500 is average

Poitiers

1562

Over the last 5 games: ▲ +7

Season start: 1555

Caen

1458

Over the last 5 games: ▲ +8

Season start: 1450

PoitiersCaen

Form in detail

this season, before the game

Poitiers

Current streak · 3 wins

At home2–1

Away1–1

Points scored: 86.8 per game
Points allowed: 81.6 per game
Average margin: +5.2
Margin home / away: +8.7 / 0.0

Caen

Current streak · 2 losses

At home2–1

Away1–1

Points scored: 89.6 per game
Points allowed: 88.0 per game
Average margin: +1.6
Margin home / away: +2.7 / 0.0

Head to head

latest meetings, all seasons

Poitiers · 24 · Caen

Apr 2, 2026Caen 89–87 Poitiers
Dec 27, 2025Poitiers 90–65 Caen
Jan 17, 2025Poitiers 74–78 Caen
Sep 13, 2024Caen 95–91 Poitiers
Mar 15, 2019Poitiers 92–80 Caen
Dec 7, 2018Caen 86–85 Poitiers

Top scorers

Poitiers

from 4 of the season’s 5 games: those with a complete box score

K. Willis20.7 points
28.5 min · 3 games
C. Dauby14.0 points
23.2 min · 4 games
N. Brown12.2 points
24.6 min · 4 games
Prot Imanol10.0 points
27.2 min · 4 games
Ramljak Ivan8.2 points
25.1 min · 4 games

Caen

from 5 of the season’s 5 games: those with a complete box score

Thomas Tyler21.4 points
29.0 min · 5 games
Moore Lee14.0 points
24.7 min · 4 games
L. De Bruhl10.0 points
23.3 min · 5 games
A. Rojewski10.0 points
25.0 min · 4 games
D. Poirier7.8 points
21.5 min · 5 games

Season so far

results known before the game

Poitiers3–2

at Fos-sur-MerW 80–67
vs Chalons-ReimsW 92–77
vs NantesW 90–73
at Ada BloisL 92–105
vs EvreuxL 80–86

Caen3–2

vs QuimperL 72–81
at VichyL 76–80
vs Hyeres-ToulonW 90–77
at St. ChamondW 115–111
vs Aix MaurienneW 95–91

How the prediction moved

every prediction is kept as made, never edited

24 h before tip-offCAE 46.6%
6 h before tip-offCAE 46.6%
1 h before tip-offCAE 46.6%

Model: Elo, tuned on the competition’s past seasons. It only reads results (no rosters, no injuries): take it as a starting point, not a certainty.