BBL · Regular season · 2026-27

Chemnitz @ Wurzburg

Mon, Oct 26, 3:00 PM ETTectake Arena

Chemnitz win probability

27.1%

Wurzburg win probability

72.9%

Projected score

73.7–80.7

Projected spread

+7.1

model margin, not a betting line

Projected total

154.4

points

Model updated Sun, Oct 25, 3:05 PM ET · 24 h before tip-off

Probabilities, not guarantees. A team given 60% loses about 4 times in 10 when the model is well calibrated. DunkScope explains model outputs and gives no betting advice; betting is for adults only (18+ or your local legal age).

Pro analysis free today: the most open game of the day.

Elo rating

each team’s strength from its results; 1,500 is average

Chemnitz

1452

Over the last 5 games: ▼ −25

Season start: 1477

Wurzburg

1544

Over the last 5 games: —

Season start: 1553

ChemnitzWurzburg

Form in detail

this season, before the game

Chemnitz

Current streak · 2 losses

At home1–1

Away0–3

Points scored: 85.0 per game
Points allowed: 89.0 per game
Average margin: −4.0
Margin home / away: −1.5 / −5.7

Wurzburg

Current streak · 1 loss

At home1–1

Away1–1

Points scored: 75.8 per game
Points allowed: 80.2 per game
Average margin: −4.5
Margin home / away: −1.0 / −8.0

Head to head

latest meetings, all seasons

Chemnitz · 42 · Wurzburg

Mar 6, 2026Wurzburg 81–69 Chemnitz
Dec 12, 2025Chemnitz 67–86 Wurzburg
Mar 16, 2025Wurzburg 83–90 Chemnitz
Nov 30, 2024Chemnitz 81–77 Wurzburg
May 12, 2024Chemnitz 79–66 Wurzburg
Nov 4, 2023Wurzburg 68–70 Chemnitz

Coming schedule

the next 5 opponents and their Elo rating

Chemnitz

LudwigsburgOct 31 · vs1517
VechtaNov 7 · at1461
Basketball BraunschweigNov 15 · vs1432
TrierNov 21 · at1549
RostockDec 5 · vs1559

Opponents’ average rating: 1504 (league average: 1,500) · a tougher schedule than average

Wurzburg

Basketball BraunschweigOct 31 · at1432
BayernNov 8 · vs1766
HamburgNov 14 · at1422
VechtaNov 20 · vs1461
FrankfurtDec 3 · at1425

Opponents’ average rating: 1501 (league average: 1,500) · a tougher schedule than average

Top scorers

Chemnitz

from 3 of the season’s 5 games: those with a complete box score

C. Williams17.0 points
27.1 min · 2 games
Fleming Jr. Phlandrous16.7 points
26.6 min · 3 games
S. Smith16.3 points
33.0 min · 3 games
Seric Mateo10.3 points
26.5 min · 3 games
N. Ceaser9.3 points
25.3 min · 3 games

Wurzburg

from 3 of the season’s 4 games: those with a complete box score

E. Colbert18.3 points
29.8 min · 3 games
S. Griffin12.3 points
25.8 min · 3 games
Tischler Brandon12.0 points
24.2 min · 3 games
C. Wishart9.3 points
22.4 min · 3 games
M. Jones8.3 points
18.8 min · 3 games

Season so far

results known before the game

Chemnitz1–4

vs BayernL 83–87
at JenaL 76–82
vs Phoenix HagenW 94–93
at HamburgL 90–94
at Alba BerlinL 82–89

Wurzburg2–2

at RostockL 62–101
vs BonnW 83–76
at UlmW 90–67
vs OldenburgL 68–77

Model: Elo, tuned on the competition’s past seasons. It only reads results (no rosters, no injuries): take it as a starting point, not a certainty.