BBL · Regular season · 2026-27
Ulm @ Alba Berlin
Uber Arena
Ulm win probability
26.3%
Alba Berlin win probability
73.7%
Projected score
81.5–88.9
Projected spread
+7.4
model margin, not a betting line
Projected total
170.4
points
Model updated Sun, Oct 25, 12:05 PM ET · 1 h before tip-off
Probabilities, not guarantees. A team given 60% loses about 4 times in 10 when the model is well calibrated. DunkScope explains model outputs and gives no betting advice; betting is for adults only (18+ or your local legal age).
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- Each team’s Elo rating and its curve over the season
- The head-to-head record between the two teams
- Form in detail: home, away, current streak, points margins
- How hard the coming schedule is
- Top scorers: points and minutes per game
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Season so far
Ulm2–3
- at VechtaL 92–97
- at Syntainics MBCL 72–89
- vs WurzburgL 67–90
- at Phoenix HagenW 93–78
- vs LudwigsburgW 86–77
Alba Berlin2–3
- at TrierL 75–95
- vs BambergL 83–98
- at BayernL 61–95
- vs FrankfurtW 94–83
- vs ChemnitzW 89–82
How the prediction moved
- 24 h before tip-offALB 73.7%
- 6 h before tip-offALB 73.7%
- 1 h before tip-offALB 73.7%
Model: Elo, tuned on the competition’s past seasons. It only reads results (no rosters, no injuries): take it as a starting point, not a certainty.