BBL · Regular season · 2026-27

Hamburg @ Bayern

Sun, Oct 25, 11:30 AM ETBMW Park

Final HAM 77 – 96 BAY

Hamburg win probability

8.3%

Bayern win probability

91.7%

Projected score

73.1–91.1

Projected spread

+17.9

model margin, not a betting line

Projected total

164.2

points

Model updated Sun, Oct 25, 11:25 AM ET · 1 h before tip-off

Probabilities, not guarantees. A team given 60% loses about 4 times in 10 when the model is well calibrated. DunkScope explains model outputs and gives no betting advice; betting is for adults only (18+ or your local legal age).

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Each team’s Elo rating and its curve over the season
The head-to-head record between the two teams
Form in detail: home, away, current streak, points margins
How hard the coming schedule is
Top scorers: points and minutes per game

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Season so far

results known before the game

Hamburg1–4

at FrankfurtL 78–89
vs RostockL 84–91
at OldenburgL 74–75
vs ChemnitzW 94–90
at BonnL 72–96

Bayern4–0

at ChemnitzW 87–83
vs OldenburgW 113–60
vs Alba BerlinW 95–61
vs BambergW 108–72

How the prediction moved

every prediction is kept as made, never edited

24 h before tip-offBAY 91.7%
6 h before tip-offBAY 91.7%
1 h before tip-offBAY 91.7%

Model: Elo, tuned on the competition’s past seasons. It only reads results (no rosters, no injuries): take it as a starting point, not a certainty.