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BBL · Regular season · 2026-27

Bonn @ Ludwigsburg

Arena Ludwigsburg

Final BON 68 – 84 LUD

Bonn win probability

44.2%

Ludwigsburg win probability

55.8%

Projected score

79.9–81.2

Projected spread

+1.3

model margin, not a betting line

Projected total

161.1

points

Model updated Sat, Oct 24, 1:05 PM ET · 1 h before tip-off

Probabilities, not guarantees. A team given 60% loses about 4 times in 10 when the model is well calibrated. DunkScope explains model outputs and gives no betting advice; betting is for adults only (18+ or your local legal age).

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  • Each team’s Elo rating and its curve over the season
  • The head-to-head record between the two teams
  • Form in detail: home, away, current streak, points margins
  • How hard the coming schedule is
  • Top scorers: points and minutes per game

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Season so far

results known before the game

Bonn3–2

  • vs JenaW 115–68
  • at WurzburgL 76–83
  • vs Syntainics MBCW 77–72
  • at TrierL 80–106
  • vs HamburgW 96–72

Ludwigsburg3–2

  • at Basketball BraunschweigW 107–98
  • vs TrierL 80–94
  • at BambergW 103–96
  • vs RostockW 81–78
  • at UlmL 77–86

How the prediction moved

every prediction is kept as made, never edited
  • 24 h before tip-offLUD 55.8%
  • 6 h before tip-offLUD 55.8%
  • 1 h before tip-offLUD 55.8%

Model: Elo, tuned on the competition’s past seasons. It only reads results (no rosters, no injuries): take it as a starting point, not a certainty.